GFG GER Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Global Fashion Group S.A. · Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

Latest close 0.43 EUR
0.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 4.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 55.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.5%, after a -5.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 47 out of 100
Latest Close 0.43 EUR 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.5% latest completed week
4W Return -5.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return -13.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 57.7% 30 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 20-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 36.99% based on similar historical setup states.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 4.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 55.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.5%, after a -5.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5912-week average 0.81

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure6/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.59Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -5.5% over four weeks, -13.1% over 12 weeks, and 18.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 20 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.5%
4W-5.5%
12W-13.1%
26W41.0%
52W18.1%
Active trend streak20 weeks
Active weeks in one year30
Trend breadth57.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.71Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-61.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership10.75Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-42.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 79% Model confidence 64%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength75/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 26; rank 1 is best.
Value63/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 38; rank 1 is best.
Quality34/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 67; rank 1 is best.
Momentum77/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 24; rank 1 is best.
Growth19/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 82; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
34.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-12.4%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
46.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-6.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-1.0%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-28.2%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-5.9%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-32.5x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 3 relevant articles.

0 positive · 3 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-27.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+46.8%Week of 6 Mar.
Worst week-9.8%Week of 6 Feb.
Latest week+0.5%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses7
Recent vol3.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split21/31Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew8.0% / -4.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20260.43 EUR0.5%0.41 EUR0.30 EUR-0.7110.75278.8KOn
24 Jul 20260.43 EUR-4.9%0.41 EUR0.30 EUR-0.6312.74517.1KOn
17 Jul 20260.45 EUR-5.1%0.40 EUR0.30 EUR-0.5120.25374.6KOn
10 Jul 20260.47 EUR4.2%0.40 EUR0.30 EUR-0.5026.36302.2KOn
3 Jul 20260.46 EUR-7.5%0.39 EUR0.30 EUR-0.4418.82303.4KOn
26 Jun 20260.49 EUR5.4%0.38 EUR0.30 EUR-0.1534.91106.4KOn
19 Jun 20260.47 EUR-0.8%0.38 EUR0.30 EUR0.1327.6727.8KOn
12 Jun 20260.47 EUR-3.1%0.37 EUR0.30 EUR0.5231.5027.3KOn
5 Jun 20260.49 EUR-1.8%0.36 EUR0.30 EUR0.8035.8928.3KOn
29 May 20260.49 EUR0.6%0.36 EUR0.30 EUR0.9237.62493.2KOn
22 May 20260.49 EUR0.6%0.35 EUR0.30 EUR0.9939.42400.4KOn
15 May 20260.49 EUR-1.2%0.34 EUR0.30 EUR1.1645.39213.2KOn
8 May 20260.49 EUR5.3%0.34 EUR0.30 EUR1.2946.56439.2KOn
1 May 20260.47 EUR-8.9%0.33 EUR0.31 EUR1.3941.23918.2KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.