- The trend backdrop is active with a 6-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
HAL
NSI
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Hindustan Aeronautics Limited · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Latest close
4,646 INR
1.6%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 9.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 80.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.6%, after a 4.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 49/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
56
out of 100
Latest Close
4,646 INR
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
1.6%
latest completed week
4W Return
4.9%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-3.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
36.5%
19 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.8x
vs 13-week average
- No major top-level risk cluster is currently dominant.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
1.6%
Latest completed week; four-week move 4.9%.
Indicator stack
41/72
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
49/100
15 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 9.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 80.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.6%, after a 4.9% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.5412-week average 0.34
12-week confirmation
Trend active6/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.54Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 4.9% over four weeks, -3.0% over 12 weeks, and 5.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 6 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak6 weeks
Active weeks in one year19
Trend breadth36.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.89Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change75.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership7.57Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change135.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 94%
Model confidence 90%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength45/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 56; rank 1 is best.
Value19/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 82; rank 1 is best.
Quality84/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 17; rank 1 is best.
Momentum70/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 31; rank 1 is best.
Growth29/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 72; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework23/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 33.6x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 9.2x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 24.8x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 2.8% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 35.7% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 25.5% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 25.3% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 17.0% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 6.8% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 9.0% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -29.7% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 1.1% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 1.1% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -0.3x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment49/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 15 relevant articles.
5 positive · 7 neutral · 3 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-5.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.5%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-11.9%Week of 6 Feb.
Latest week+1.6%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses4
Recent vol4.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.3% / -2.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorIN Industrials
4-week rank19 / 100
Group average-2.4%
Trend breadth63.0%
Trend63.0%active weekly trend signals
MD52.0%positive activity pressure
RS59.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryIN Aerospace & Defense
4-week rank4 / 16
Group average-3.1%
Trend breadth68.8%
Trend68.8%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS56.2%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape56/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 56/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis71/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 6/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.54; No reversal markers Factors54/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 25 SVQF23/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 1229.0 of 1590 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment49/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 15 relevant articles.
HAL Stock Is In Focus As India Space Spending Draws Fresh Investor Interest Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 4,646 INR | 1.6% | 4,258 INR | 3,944 INR | 0.89 | 7.57 | 3.2M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 4,573 INR | 1.6% | 4,250 INR | 3,926 INR | 0.80 | 8.76 | 3.1M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 4,501 INR | -0.1% | 4,243 INR | 3,909 INR | 0.76 | 4.67 | 2.9M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 4,507 INR | 1.8% | 4,235 INR | 3,892 INR | 0.70 | 5.37 | 3.6M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 4,429 INR | 1.4% | 4,227 INR | 3,875 INR | 0.51 | 3.22 | 3.0M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 4,369 INR | -0.9% | 4,227 INR | 3,859 INR | 0.43 | 2.60 | 0 | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 4,408 INR | 5.1% | 4,231 INR | 3,842 INR | 0.50 | 3.63 | 834.7K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 4,192 INR | -0.6% | 4,236 INR | 3,825 INR | 0.58 | 0.05 | 693.3K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 4,217 INR | -2.0% | 4,253 INR | 3,810 INR | 0.81 | 1.48 | 492.6K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 4,304 INR | -1.5% | 4,265 INR | 3,795 INR | 1.04 | 2.59 | 7.1M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 4,368 INR | -0.4% | 4,276 INR | 3,777 INR | 1.01 | 3.20 | 6.7M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 4,386 INR | -8.4% | 4,290 INR | 3,759 INR | 0.88 | 3.81 | 9.3M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 4,788 INR | 10.4% | 4,305 INR | 3,740 INR | 0.67 | 10.62 | 8.7M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 4,339 INR | 1.7% | 4,305 INR | 3,719 INR | 0.27 | 1.12 | 2.7M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.