NXE NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

NexGen Energy Ltd. · Energy · Uranium

Latest close 9.15 USD
0.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -18.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 37.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.1%, after a -5.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 57/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 3d.

Setup score 28 out of 100
Latest Close 9.15 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.1% latest completed week
4W Return -5.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return -24.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 82.7% 43 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -18.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 37.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.1%, after a -5.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1412-week average 0.42

12-week confirmation

Trend active3/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership3/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.14Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -5.0% over four weeks, -24.6% over 12 weeks, and 41.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.1%
4W-5.0%
12W-24.6%
26W-27.2%
52W41.2%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year43
Trend breadth82.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.45Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-7.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-16.03Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-49.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 70% Model confidence 67%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength23/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 78; rank 1 is best.
Value38/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 63; rank 1 is best.
Quality36/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 65; rank 1 is best.
Momentum38/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 63; rank 1 is best.
Growth38/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 63; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
-
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
0.8%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
-
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-15.6%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-64.9%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
2/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

NXE shows volatility options pressure with a 57/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.04, expected move of 13.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction57/100
Expected move13.1%
Put/call volume0.04
Pressure93
Speculation41
Volatility89
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 89 relevant articles.

23 positive · 57 neutral · 9 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings3dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move13.1%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-34.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.4%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-12.2%Week of 6 Feb.
Latest week+0.1%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses9
Recent vol6.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.3% / -4.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20269.15 USD0.1%11.17 USD7.75 USD-1.45-16.0329.3MOff
24 Jul 20269.14 USD3.9%11.21 USD7.72 USD-1.49-15.0123.3MOff
17 Jul 20268.80 USD-9.0%11.21 USD7.69 USD-1.48-18.5724.0MOff
10 Jul 20269.67 USD0.4%11.22 USD7.67 USD-1.39-11.8220.0MOff
3 Jul 20269.63 USD-1.2%11.20 USD7.64 USD-1.35-10.7418.6MOff
26 Jun 20269.75 USD-8.5%11.19 USD7.60 USD-1.30-7.4321.8MOff
19 Jun 202610.65 USD8.1%11.17 USD7.57 USD-1.19-1.0037.3MOff
12 Jun 20269.85 USD-4.2%11.06 USD7.53 USD-1.23-7.2130.7MOff
5 Jun 202610.28 USD-11.1%11.01 USD7.50 USD-1.08-2.3438.1MOff
29 May 202611.56 USD8.4%10.95 USD7.46 USD-0.937.5223.6MOn
22 May 202610.66 USD-5.2%10.89 USD7.41 USD-0.841.2327.9MOn
15 May 202611.24 USD-7.4%10.82 USD7.37 USD-0.688.1835.5MOn
8 May 202612.14 USD-1.9%10.73 USD7.32 USD-0.6118.0432.3MOn
1 May 202612.38 USD-0.2%10.62 USD7.27 USD-0.6924.2725.7MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.