RIVN MEX Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Rivian Automotive, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers

Latest close 264.7 MXN
-5.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is -5.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 25.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.4%, after a -18.5% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 24 out of 100
Latest Close 264.7 MXN 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -5.4% latest completed week
4W Return -18.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return 8.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 21.2% 11 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 1-week active streak.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is -5.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 25.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.4%, after a -18.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.2x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3612-week average 0.16

12-week confirmation

Trend active1/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership4/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.36Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -18.5% over four weeks, 8.7% over 12 weeks, and 13.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 1 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-5.4%
4W-18.5%
12W8.7%
26W3.8%
52W13.1%
Active trend streak1 weeks
Active weeks in one year11
Trend breadth21.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.45Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change24.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-7.22Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-153.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 26 relevant articles.

5 positive · 18 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-35.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher9 of 2617 weeks finished lower.
Best week+18.7%Week of 13 Feb.
Worst week-16.0%Week of 8 May.
Latest week-5.4%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses6
Recent vol8.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/30Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew8.5% / -5.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026264.7 MXN-5.4%278.6 MXN268.0 MXN0.45-7.223.4KOn
24 Jul 2026279.9 MXN-7.8%281.1 MXN269.1 MXN0.82-1.144.0KOff
17 Jul 2026303.7 MXN-0.9%284.2 MXN270.2 MXN0.826.7176.8KOff
10 Jul 2026306.5 MXN-5.6%287.5 MXN271.0 MXN0.527.917.3KOff
3 Jul 2026324.7 MXN18.5%287.3 MXN271.7 MXN0.3613.5218.6KOff
26 Jun 2026274.1 MXN-0.3%287.4 MXN272.3 MXN0.13-4.15833Off
19 Jun 2026275.0 MXN-4.4%288.6 MXN272.4 MXN0.18-4.6779Off
12 Jun 2026287.7 MXN0.9%288.5 MXN272.1 MXN-0.03-0.86218Off
5 Jun 2026285.2 MXN1.6%288.2 MXN271.9 MXN-0.250.884.5KOff
29 May 2026280.7 MXN14.7%288.1 MXN271.6 MXN-0.38-4.3810.9KOff
22 May 2026244.7 MXN1.9%287.2 MXN271.4 MXN-0.37-16.6423.8KOff
15 May 2026240.0 MXN-1.5%287.0 MXN271.6 MXN-0.14-18.384.8KOff
8 May 2026243.6 MXN-16.0%287.0 MXN271.6 MXN-0.04-20.0135.9KOff
1 May 2026290.0 MXN-0.6%286.8 MXN271.5 MXN-0.17-2.603.4KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.