BABAN MEX Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Alibaba Group Holding Limited · Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail

Latest close 1,973 MXN
-2.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -15.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 18.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.3%, after a 18.8% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 59/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 29 out of 100
Latest Close 1,973 MXN 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -2.3% latest completed week
4W Return 18.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return -14.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 40.4% 21 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -15.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 18.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.3%, after a 18.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1212-week average 0.14

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.12Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 18.8% over four weeks, -14.5% over 12 weeks, and -11.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-2.3%
4W18.8%
12W-14.5%
26W-34.6%
52W-11.4%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year21
Trend breadth40.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.46Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change49.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-23.93Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change36.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment59/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 21 relevant articles.

9 positive · 12 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-44.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher7 of 2619 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.0%Week of 10 Jul.
Worst week-11.0%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week-2.3%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses9
Recent vol5.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.6% / -4.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 20261,973 MXN-2.3%2,336 MXN1,989 MXN-0.46-23.9317.7KOff
17 Jul 20262,020 MXN2.7%2,361 MXN1,987 MXN-0.50-22.7832.9KOff
10 Jul 20261,967 MXN13.0%2,384 MXN1,984 MXN-0.78-25.0064.2KOff
3 Jul 20261,740 MXN4.8%2,413 MXN1,981 MXN-0.99-34.3748.5KOff
26 Jun 20261,661 MXN-11.0%2,452 MXN1,980 MXN-0.91-37.80108.1KOff
19 Jun 20261,867 MXN-3.6%2,492 MXN1,979 MXN-0.88-31.00212Off
12 Jun 20261,936 MXN-7.6%2,525 MXN1,976 MXN-0.60-29.077.8KOff
5 Jun 20262,095 MXN-2.6%2,553 MXN1,974 MXN-0.49-21.494.9KOff
29 May 20262,151 MXN-4.2%2,586 MXN1,970 MXN-0.55-22.5514.6KOff
22 May 20262,246 MXN-2.3%2,619 MXN1,965 MXN-0.71-19.0931.9KOff
15 May 20262,298 MXN-4.5%2,652 MXN1,960 MXN-0.82-17.0329.2KOff
8 May 20262,407 MXN4.3%2,678 MXN1,955 MXN-0.76-15.7418.0KOff
1 May 20262,308 MXN-2.2%2,696 MXN1,949 MXN-0.88-17.1811.6KOff
24 Apr 20262,360 MXN-3.5%2,734 MXN1,944 MXN-0.82-17.3942.3KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.