MUSA1 MEX Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

MURPHY USA INC · Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

Latest close 10,900 MXN
0.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 25.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 100.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.0%, after a 19.5% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 63/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.

Setup score 62 out of 100
Latest Close 10,900 MXN 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.0% latest completed week
4W Return 19.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return 19.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 42.3% 22 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio - vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 20-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 42.81% based on similar historical setup states.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 25.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 100.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.0%, after a 19.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is - the 13-week average. Participation data is incomplete.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7512-week average 0.86

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.75Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 19.5% over four weeks, 19.8% over 12 weeks, and 34.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 20 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.0%
4W19.5%
12W19.8%
26W46.0%
52W34.1%
Active trend streak20 weeks
Active weeks in one year22
Trend breadth42.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.40Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-11.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership34.06Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change182.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment63/100

Weighted news tone is positive across 8 relevant articles.

5 positive · 3 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown0.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 268 weeks finished lower.
Best week+25.3%Week of 13 Mar.
Worst week-11.3%Week of 27 Feb.
Latest week+0.0%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains4
Flat weeks7
Modest losses3
Sharp losses5
Recent vol5.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split21/16Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.6% / -4.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202610,900 MXN0.0%8,699 MXN8,896 MXN0.4034.060On
17 Jul 202610,900 MXN6.1%8,581 MXN8,877 MXN0.2434.0155On
10 Jul 202610,274 MXN5.4%8,463 MXN8,857 MXN0.1627.0262On
3 Jul 20269,746 MXN6.8%8,357 MXN8,843 MXN0.2719.75265On
26 Jun 20269,125 MXN-6.7%8,264 MXN8,834 MXN0.4612.05760On
19 Jun 20269,780 MXN6.1%8,192 MXN8,831 MXN0.7419.250On
12 Jun 20269,218 MXN0.0%8,083 MXN8,822 MXN0.9511.880On
5 Jun 20269,218 MXN0.0%7,992 MXN8,818 MXN1.0914.750On
29 May 20269,218 MXN-6.9%7,911 MXN8,813 MXN1.2610.55410On
22 May 20269,903 MXN0.0%7,828 MXN8,809 MXN1.3018.990On
15 May 20269,902 MXN-4.3%7,728 MXN8,798 MXN1.2618.9511On
8 May 202610,349 MXN13.7%7,627 MXN8,786 MXN1.2620.3184On
1 May 20269,101 MXN1.2%7,512 MXN8,769 MXN1.158.2812On
24 Apr 20268,993 MXN3.6%7,449 MXN8,766 MXN1.184.0018On
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.