RAIL STO Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Railcare Group AB (publ) · Industrials · Railroads

Latest close 37.50 SEK
-0.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 18.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 96.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.5%, after a 4.7% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 68 out of 100
Latest Close 37.50 SEK 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -0.5% latest completed week
4W Return 4.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 21.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 88.5% 46 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 13-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 7 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 18.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 96.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.5%, after a 4.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.4x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9912-week average 0.80

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.99Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers77 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 7 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 4.7% over four weeks, 21.5% over 12 weeks, and 38.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 13 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.5%
4W4.7%
12W21.5%
26W24.3%
52W38.4%
Active trend streak13 weeks
Active weeks in one year46
Trend breadth88.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.09Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change11.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership16.12Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change19.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.

0 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-1.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+14.4%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-5.2%Week of 13 Feb.
Latest week-0.5%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses2
Recent vol4.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.9% / -1.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustrySE Railroads
4-week rank1 / 1
Group average4.7%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS100.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202637.50 SEK-0.5%31.61 SEK25.70 SEK1.0916.1235.9KOn
17 Jul 202637.70 SEK0.3%31.30 SEK25.57 SEK1.0918.9871.4KOn
10 Jul 202637.60 SEK4.4%30.96 SEK25.44 SEK1.0717.86130.0KOn
3 Jul 202636.00 SEK0.6%30.65 SEK25.30 SEK0.9710.7267.3KOn
26 Jun 202635.80 SEK-0.6%30.39 SEK25.18 SEK0.9813.4545.2KOn
19 Jun 202636.00 SEK0.8%30.14 SEK25.06 SEK1.0613.4182.5KOn
12 Jun 202635.70 SEK-0.8%29.89 SEK24.94 SEK1.0314.9710.5KOn
5 Jun 202636.00 SEK1.7%29.62 SEK24.82 SEK1.0716.063.7KOn
29 May 202635.40 SEK6.9%29.37 SEK24.70 SEK1.1913.6596.0KOn
22 May 202633.10 SEK-1.8%29.08 SEK24.57 SEK0.936.2573.3KOn
15 May 202633.70 SEK-4.5%28.86 SEK24.47 SEK0.7312.1494.9KOn
8 May 202635.30 SEK14.4%28.60 SEK24.36 SEK0.3216.25282.6KOn
1 May 202630.86 SEK5.4%28.28 SEK24.24 SEK-0.282.2764.9KOn
24 Apr 202629.30 SEK2.0%28.16 SEK24.16 SEK-0.54-4.15262.5KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.