MKL NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Markel Corporation · Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

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Latest close 1,882 USD
-5.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -3.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 33.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.6%, after a -4.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 40/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 51/100.

Setup score 46 out of 100
Latest Close 1,882 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -5.6% latest completed week
4W Return -4.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return 3.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 53.8% 28 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 63.16% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The latest week was a sharp negative move.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -5.6% Latest completed week; four-week move -4.9%. Indicator stack 30/72 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 63.16% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bullish 40/100 conviction; expected move 3.6%. News sentiment 51/100 57 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 29 Jul Latest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -3.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 33.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.6%, after a -4.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2812-week average 0.10

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.28Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -4.9% over four weeks, 3.7% over 12 weeks, and -2.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-5.6%
4W-4.9%
12W3.7%
26W-7.8%
52W-2.5%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year28
Trend breadth53.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.61Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change139.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-12.27Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-37.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength66/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 35; rank 1 is best.
Value86/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 15; rank 1 is best.
Quality31/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
Momentum25/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
Growth68/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 33; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
14.1x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.5x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
9.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
10.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
61.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
14.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
15.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
10.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
7.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-3.8%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
2.0%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.5%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
4.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
6.5%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

MKL shows bullish options pressure with a 40/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.20, expected move of 3.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction40/100
Expected move3.6%
Put/call volume0.20
Pressure75
Speculation25
Volatility27
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity17 / 3

17 acquisitions and 3 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 57 relevant articles.

14 positive · 31 neutral · 12 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings29 JulLatest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
Options expected move3.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-14.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+3.9%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-7.0%Week of 1 May.
Latest week-5.6%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains0
Modest gains15
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses3
Recent vol2.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew1.9% / -2.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape46/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 46/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis22/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.28; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 63.16%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 63.16% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors52/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 14 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options41/100

MKL shows bullish options pressure with a 40/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.20, expected move of 3.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 3.6% Sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 57 relevant articles.

Markel Group (MKL) Earnings Put Its Underwriting Narrative And Valuation In Focus Insiders17 / 3

17 acquisitions and 3 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings29 Jul

Latest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20261,882 USD-5.6%1,943 USD1,746 USD0.61-12.27447.8KOff
24 Jul 20261,995 USD1.1%1,951 USD1,743 USD0.71-6.40214.6KOff
17 Jul 20261,972 USD1.2%1,958 USD1,740 USD0.74-8.31311.6KOff
10 Jul 20261,950 USD-1.5%1,964 USD1,736 USD0.51-11.13350.2KOff
3 Jul 20261,980 USD3.1%1,971 USD1,732 USD0.25-8.91379.6KOff
26 Jun 20261,920 USD3.9%1,974 USD1,729 USD-0.17-10.08384.7KOff
19 Jun 20261,847 USD0.1%1,979 USD1,725 USD-0.51-15.90323.5KOff
12 Jun 20261,846 USD1.5%1,985 USD1,722 USD-0.61-15.64393.0KOff
5 Jun 20261,819 USD0.2%1,992 USD1,719 USD-0.74-16.84368.1KOff
29 May 20261,816 USD-2.3%2,000 USD1,716 USD-0.74-19.50364.5KOff
22 May 20261,858 USD0.8%2,005 USD1,713 USD-0.70-16.93350.4KOff
15 May 20261,844 USD1.6%2,006 USD1,709 USD-0.72-17.23347.6KOff
8 May 20261,815 USD2.0%2,007 USD1,706 USD-0.62-18.78362.4KOff
1 May 20261,779 USD-7.0%2,011 USD1,703 USD-0.63-18.97668.6KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.