GGBN MEX Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Gerdau S.A. · Basic Materials · Steel

Latest close 83.40 MXN
-0.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 94.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.1%, after a 14.2% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 53 out of 100
Latest Close 83.40 MXN 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -0.1% latest completed week
4W Return 14.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return 8.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 75.0% 39 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 2-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 38.18% based on similar historical setup states.
  • 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 94.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.1%, after a 14.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.0x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7312-week average 0.74

12-week confirmation

Trend active11/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.73Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 14.2% over four weeks, 8.6% over 12 weeks, and 45.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 2 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.1%
4W14.2%
12W8.6%
26W8.2%
52W45.3%
Active trend streak2 weeks
Active weeks in one year39
Trend breadth75.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.19Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-145.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership20.91Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change256.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.

0 positive · 5 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-2.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+19.0%Week of 17 Jul.
Worst week-9.0%Week of 20 Feb.
Latest week-0.1%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains5
Flat weeks4
Modest losses8
Sharp losses4
Recent vol6.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/17Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.5% / -3.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202683.40 MXN-0.1%73.82 MXN64.40 MXN-0.1920.91108On
17 Jul 202683.50 MXN19.0%73.27 MXN64.41 MXN-0.1421.152.0KOn
10 Jul 202670.14 MXN0.0%72.76 MXN64.38 MXN-0.122.560Off
3 Jul 202670.14 MXN-3.9%72.54 MXN64.44 MXN0.171.867On
26 Jun 202673.00 MXN-2.6%72.33 MXN64.48 MXN0.425.8641.4KOn
19 Jun 202674.95 MXN-7.5%72.02 MXN64.48 MXN0.518.200On
12 Jun 202681.00 MXN-1.1%71.59 MXN64.47 MXN0.5816.550On
5 Jun 202681.91 MXN1.1%70.95 MXN64.44 MXN0.5621.390On
29 May 202681.00 MXN1.9%70.29 MXN64.39 MXN0.6816.36273On
22 May 202679.47 MXN-3.5%69.65 MXN64.32 MXN0.5715.215.0KOn
15 May 202682.35 MXN-3.3%69.07 MXN64.28 MXN0.3920.5644On
8 May 202685.12 MXN10.9%68.30 MXN64.21 MXN0.1421.92164.0KOn
1 May 202676.78 MXN0.7%67.44 MXN64.13 MXN-0.2213.8912.8KOn
24 Apr 202676.27 MXN4.2%66.85 MXN64.11 MXN-0.5411.29120On
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.