MPOW JKT Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

PT Megapower Makmur Tbk · Utilities · Utilities - Independent Power Producers

Latest close 106.0 IDR
2.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 0.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 20.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.9%, after a 19.1% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 34 out of 100
Latest Close 106.0 IDR 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 2.9% latest completed week
4W Return 19.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return -28.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 21.2% 11 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 42.28% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 0.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 20.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.9%, after a 19.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.2x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1212-week average 0.19

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure6/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.12Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 19.1% over four weeks, -28.4% over 12 weeks, and -17.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W2.9%
4W19.1%
12W-28.4%
26W-1.9%
52W-17.8%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year11
Trend breadth21.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.40Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-85.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership14.69Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change638.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.

0 positive · 2 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-45.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility12.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+37.0%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-14.2%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+2.9%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains6
Flat weeks1
Modest losses5
Sharp losses8
Recent vol12.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.0% / -4.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryID Utilities - Independent Power Producers
4-week rank1 / 3
Group average8.9%
Trend breadth33.3%
Trend33.3%active weekly trend signals
MD66.7%positive activity pressure
RS100.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026106.0 IDR2.9%106.0 IDR88.67 IDR-0.4014.6928.7MOff
24 Jul 2026103.0 IDR6.2%106.6 IDR88.50 IDR-0.4512.1485.4MOff
17 Jul 202697.00 IDR6.6%107.2 IDR88.32 IDR-0.435.97126.8MOff
10 Jul 202691.00 IDR2.2%108.1 IDR88.18 IDR-0.343.6117.2MOff
3 Jul 202689.00 IDR-5.3%109.2 IDR88.06 IDR-0.221.9918.3MOff
26 Jun 202694.00 IDR-4.1%110.4 IDR87.97 IDR-0.047.021.6MOff
19 Jun 202698.00 IDR1.0%111.2 IDR87.83 IDR0.136.302.8MOff
12 Jun 202697.00 IDR-10.2%112.0 IDR87.71 IDR0.357.765.4MOff
5 Jun 2026108.0 IDR-5.3%112.5 IDR87.60 IDR0.6828.5010.9MOff
29 May 2026114.0 IDR0.0%112.8 IDR87.46 IDR0.9524.1549.9MOff
22 May 2026114.0 IDR-10.2%112.8 IDR87.23 IDR0.8823.59391.0MOff
15 May 2026127.0 IDR-14.2%112.8 IDR86.88 IDR0.6625.961.1BOff
8 May 2026148.0 IDR37.0%112.1 IDR86.44 IDR0.2541.58199.8MOff
1 May 2026108.0 IDR2.9%111.0 IDR85.84 IDR-0.223.4325.0MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.