SRAG GER Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Samara Asset Group plc · Financial Services · Asset Management

Latest close 2.23 EUR
-0.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 45.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.9%, after a -2.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 57/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 31 out of 100
Latest Close 2.23 EUR 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -0.9% latest completed week
4W Return -2.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return -5.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 32.7% 17 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 37.06% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 45.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.9%, after a -2.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.5x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3912-week average 0.49

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure6/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership5/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.39Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -2.2% over four weeks, -5.1% over 12 weeks, and 28.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.9%
4W-2.2%
12W-5.1%
26W-1.3%
52W28.2%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year17
Trend breadth32.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.50Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-71.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-4.82Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-95.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 79% Model confidence 64%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength7/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 94; rank 1 is best.
Value14/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 87; rank 1 is best.
Quality17/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Momentum61/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 40; rank 1 is best.
Growth90/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 11; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
88.6x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
20.5x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
36.6x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-2.1%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
-
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
62.7%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-50.3%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
2.2%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
278.1%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.4%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
5.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 18 relevant articles.

7 positive · 11 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-23.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+17.5%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-12.2%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week-0.9%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains6
Flat weeks2
Modest losses6
Sharp losses7
Recent vol6.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew8.8% / -6.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20262.23 EUR-0.9%2.24 EUR2.03 EUR-0.50-4.821.9KOff
24 Jul 20262.25 EUR0.0%2.26 EUR2.03 EUR-0.41-1.671.5KOff
17 Jul 20262.25 EUR1.4%2.26 EUR2.03 EUR-0.53-0.443.9KOff
10 Jul 20262.22 EUR-2.6%2.26 EUR2.03 EUR-0.45-2.4711.0KOff
3 Jul 20262.28 EUR17.5%2.26 EUR2.03 EUR-0.29-2.4619.1KOff
26 Jun 20261.94 EUR-12.2%2.26 EUR2.03 EUR-0.14-13.2332Off
19 Jun 20262.21 EUR-4.7%2.28 EUR2.04 EUR0.17-2.561.1KOff
12 Jun 20262.32 EUR0.0%2.28 EUR2.04 EUR0.333.77815Off
5 Jun 20262.32 EUR0.9%2.28 EUR2.04 EUR0.393.4187Off
29 May 20262.30 EUR-1.3%2.28 EUR2.03 EUR0.401.322.3KOff
22 May 20262.33 EUR0.4%2.29 EUR2.03 EUR0.503.669.5KOff
15 May 20262.32 EUR-1.3%2.30 EUR2.03 EUR0.477.381.1KOff
8 May 20262.35 EUR-7.5%2.30 EUR2.02 EUR0.227.581.1KOff
1 May 20262.54 EUR3.7%2.30 EUR2.02 EUR-0.0016.9414.2KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.