MPCK GER Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

MPC Münchmeyer Petersen Capital AG · Financial Services · Asset Management

Latest close 5.24 EUR
1.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 2.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 67.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.9%, after a 2.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 50 out of 100
Latest Close 5.24 EUR 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 1.9% latest completed week
4W Return 2.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return -4.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 75.0% 39 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 17-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 2.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 67.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.9%, after a 2.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.4x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7012-week average 0.79

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership8/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.70Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 2.7% over four weeks, -4.0% over 12 weeks, and 4.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 17 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.9%
4W2.7%
12W-4.0%
26W4.0%
52W4.8%
Active trend streak17 weeks
Active weeks in one year39
Trend breadth75.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.79Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-320.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-1.07Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change75.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 74%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength25/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
Value42/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 59; rank 1 is best.
Quality31/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
Momentum43/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 58; rank 1 is best.
Growth70/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 31; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework8/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
7.8x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
4.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
5.4x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
6.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
43.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
9.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
21.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
2.7%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
0.3%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
38.4%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-37.1%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
5.4%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
5.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-1.1x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.

0 positive · 2 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-6.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.6%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-4.8%Week of 19 Jun.
Latest week+1.9%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains9
Flat weeks2
Modest losses11
Sharp losses1
Recent vol3.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew1.5% / -1.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20265.24 EUR1.9%5.11 EUR4.30 EUR-0.79-1.0721.4KOn
24 Jul 20265.14 EUR-0.4%5.10 EUR4.29 EUR-0.73-0.999.9KOn
17 Jul 20265.16 EUR4.9%5.09 EUR4.27 EUR-0.410.5011.9KOn
10 Jul 20264.92 EUR-3.5%5.08 EUR4.25 EUR-0.18-5.0252.5KOn
3 Jul 20265.10 EUR-2.7%5.08 EUR4.24 EUR0.36-4.3271.9KOn
26 Jun 20265.24 EUR0.8%5.07 EUR4.23 EUR0.722.6561.2KOn
19 Jun 20265.20 EUR-4.8%5.06 EUR4.21 EUR1.020.683.4KOn
12 Jun 20265.46 EUR-0.4%5.05 EUR4.20 EUR1.437.2040.6KOn
5 Jun 20265.48 EUR0.0%5.03 EUR4.18 EUR1.597.045.7KOn
29 May 20265.48 EUR0.7%5.01 EUR4.16 EUR1.805.6664.9KOn
22 May 20265.44 EUR1.5%4.99 EUR4.14 EUR1.645.8471.1KOn
15 May 20265.36 EUR-1.8%4.97 EUR4.13 EUR1.478.40122.6KOn
8 May 20265.46 EUR6.6%4.95 EUR4.11 EUR1.228.75173.8KOn
1 May 20265.12 EUR1.2%4.93 EUR4.09 EUR0.992.4038.9KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.