HCI NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

HCI Group Inc · Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

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Latest close 175.0 USD
-2.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 54.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.1%, after a -4.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 45/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 57/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 4d.

Setup score 41 out of 100
Latest Close 175.0 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -2.1% latest completed week
4W Return -4.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return 15.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 48.1% 25 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 2-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • No major top-level risk cluster is currently dominant.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -2.1% Latest completed week; four-week move -4.2%. Indicator stack 33/69 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 45/100 conviction; expected move 10.5%. News sentiment 57/100 23 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 4d Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 54.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.1%, after a -4.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5112-week average 0.19

12-week confirmation

Trend active2/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.51Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -4.2% over four weeks, 15.3% over 12 weeks, and 27.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 2 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-2.1%
4W-4.2%
12W15.3%
26W10.9%
52W27.3%
Active trend streak2 weeks
Active weeks in one year25
Trend breadth48.1%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.01Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change10.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-5.50Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-846.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength99/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Value95/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
Quality94/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Momentum77/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 24; rank 1 is best.
Growth100/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 1; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
7.5x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.5x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
3.1x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
30.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
66.5%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
48.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
46.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
235.7%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
22.0%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
129.3%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
36.3%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.9%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.8%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.7%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-2.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

HCI shows volatility options pressure with a 45/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.44, expected move of 10.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction45/100
Expected move10.5%
Put/call volume0.44
Pressure50
Speculation28
Volatility79
Trend agreement38
Open options detail
Insider activity5 / 4

5 acquisitions and 4 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 23 relevant articles.

11 positive · 9 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings4dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move10.5%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-16.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.0%Week of 27 Feb.
Worst week-9.5%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week-2.1%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses13
Sharp losses1
Recent vol3.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.7% / -3.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape39/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 39/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis36/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 2/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 1/12.

Activity pressure 0.51; No reversal markers Factors91/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 32; Small Cap Core rank 16 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options44/100

HCI shows volatility options pressure with a 45/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.44, expected move of 10.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 10.5% Sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 23 relevant articles.

HCI Group Inc (HCI) Shares Fall 3.9% -- What GF Score of 81 Tells Investors Insiders5 / 4

5 acquisitions and 4 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings4d

Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026175.0 USD-2.1%163.3 USD126.5 USD1.01-5.50874.8KOn
24 Jul 2026178.8 USD0.5%163.5 USD125.8 USD1.10-2.30682.0KOn
17 Jul 2026178.0 USD-2.5%163.9 USD125.0 USD1.30-3.15835.9KOff
10 Jul 2026182.6 USD-0.0%164.3 USD124.2 USD1.17-2.09804.6KOff
3 Jul 2026182.6 USD1.2%164.4 USD123.4 USD0.91-0.58726.1KOff
26 Jun 2026180.5 USD10.3%164.0 USD122.6 USD0.570.441.3MOff
19 Jun 2026163.6 USD2.0%163.9 USD121.8 USD0.10-11.08780.3KOff
12 Jun 2026160.4 USD2.2%164.2 USD121.1 USD-0.01-12.19718.9KOff
5 Jun 2026157.0 USD1.9%164.8 USD120.4 USD-0.01-13.90906.8KOff
29 May 2026154.1 USD-2.4%165.6 USD119.8 USD-0.00-18.05644.8KOff
22 May 2026157.8 USD0.9%167.2 USD119.2 USD-0.07-15.40754.0KOff
15 May 2026156.4 USD3.0%168.7 USD118.5 USD-0.13-15.891.1MOff
8 May 2026151.9 USD-0.0%169.8 USD117.8 USD-0.21-18.591.0MOff
1 May 2026151.9 USD-2.9%170.9 USD117.2 USD-0.34-17.21719.9KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.