JOE NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

St Joe Company · Real Estate · Real Estate - Diversified

Open interactive chart View report data
Latest close 62.24 USD
0.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 59.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.2%, after a 1.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bearish with 48/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 40 out of 100
Latest Close 62.24 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.2% latest completed week
4W Return 1.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return -5.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 80.8% 42 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 0.2% Latest completed week; four-week move 1.5%. Indicator stack 44/21 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bearish 48/100 conviction; expected move 6.8%. News sentiment 50/100 16 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 29 Jul Latest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 59.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.2%, after a 1.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3512-week average 0.47

12-week confirmation

Trend active2/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership4/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.35Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers55 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 5 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 1.5% over four weeks, -5.2% over 12 weeks, and 26.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.2%
4W1.5%
12W-5.2%
26W-5.5%
52W26.1%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year42
Trend breadth80.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.13Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-109.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-5.32Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change15.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength49/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 52; rank 1 is best.
Value11/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
Quality99/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Momentum74/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
Growth96/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
31.8x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
6.9x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
17.6x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
5.4%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
92.6%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
34.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
41.4%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
11.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
26.6%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
44.2%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
62.1%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
9/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
1.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.1%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.9x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBearish

JOE shows bearish options pressure with a 48/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 3.75, expected move of 6.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction48/100
Expected move6.8%
Put/call volume3.75
Pressure-48
Speculation2
Volatility46
Trend agreement88
Open options detail
Insider activity0 / 14

0 acquisitions and 14 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 16 relevant articles.

2 positive · 11 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings29 JulLatest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
Options expected move6.8%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-15.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher17 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.6%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-13.1%Week of 1 May.
Latest week+0.2%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains2
Modest gains15
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses4
Recent vol3.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split32/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.9% / -3.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryUS Real Estate - Diversified
4-week rank1 / 2
Group average-5.3%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD0.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

JOE · NYSE1.5%STRS · NASDAQ-12.0%
08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape38/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 38/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis17/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 2/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 4/12.

Activity pressure 0.35; 5 reversal markers Factors58/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 29; Small Cap Core rank 91 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options51/100

JOE shows bearish options pressure with a 48/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 3.75, expected move of 6.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bearish · Put-side pressure · Expected move 6.8% Sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 16 relevant articles.

Front Street Capital Management Inc. Sells 47,365 Shares of St. Joe Company (The) $JOE Insiders0 / 14

0 acquisitions and 14 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings29 Jul

Latest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202662.24 USD0.2%65.34 USD54.63 USD-1.13-5.32959.3KOff
24 Jul 202662.12 USD2.6%65.25 USD54.60 USD-1.03-4.401.2MOff
17 Jul 202660.55 USD-0.3%65.13 USD54.61 USD-0.77-7.291.2MOff
10 Jul 202660.75 USD-0.9%65.15 USD54.55 USD-0.57-8.371.3MOff
3 Jul 202661.33 USD-7.1%65.21 USD54.49 USD-0.54-6.281.3MOff
26 Jun 202666.00 USD0.1%65.16 USD54.41 USD-0.593.111.7MOff
19 Jun 202665.94 USD1.6%64.96 USD54.28 USD-0.900.801.8MOff
12 Jun 202664.92 USD0.3%64.67 USD54.14 USD-1.090.381.0MOff
5 Jun 202664.71 USD1.9%64.40 USD54.01 USD-1.140.851.0MOff
29 May 202663.47 USD-0.3%64.18 USD53.87 USD-0.99-3.32805.3KOff
22 May 202663.65 USD0.4%63.94 USD53.75 USD-0.93-1.46688.2KOn
15 May 202663.42 USD-3.4%63.51 USD53.64 USD-0.71-0.73965.5KOn
8 May 202665.63 USD6.6%62.99 USD53.51 USD-0.483.122.0MOn
1 May 202661.59 USD-13.1%62.35 USD53.35 USD-0.51-0.721.3MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.