- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
GEVO
MEX
Week ended 24 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Gevo, Inc. · Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals
Latest close
32.00 MXN
29.6%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 0.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 32.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 29.6%, after a 30.6% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
35
out of 100
Latest Close
32.00 MXN
24 Jul 2026
1W Return
29.6%
latest completed week
4W Return
30.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-8.6%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
38.5%
20 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.6x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 27.79% based on similar historical setup states.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
29.6%
Latest completed week; four-week move 30.6%.
Indicator stack
21/36
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 27.79%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
53/100
5 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 0.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 32.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 29.6%, after a 30.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0212-week average 0.16
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure3/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.02Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 30.6% over four weeks, -8.6% over 12 weeks, and 41.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year20
Trend breadth38.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.78Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-4.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-7.67Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change74.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment53/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.
1 positive · 3 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-37.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility10.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
30 Jan
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
24 Jul
Weeks higher8 of 267 weeks finished lower.
Best week+43.3%Week of 27 Mar.
Worst week-43.0%Week of 17 Apr.
Latest week+29.6%Week of 24 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains6
Modest gains2
Flat weeks11
Modest losses1
Sharp losses6
Recent vol10.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol13.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split17/14Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew13.8% / -10.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorMX Basic Materials
4-week rank1 / 53
Group average-3.5%
Trend breadth35.8%
Trend35.8%active weekly trend signals
MD30.2%positive activity pressure
RS43.4%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryMX Specialty Chemicals
4-week rank1 / 8
Group average1.2%
Trend breadth25.0%
Trend25.0%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS25.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape26/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 26/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis14/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 3/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.02; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 27.79%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 27.79% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment53/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.
Gevo, Inc. Revenue Breakdown – NASDAQ:GEVO Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 32.00 MXN | 29.6% | 31.93 MXN | 26.24 MXN | -0.78 | -7.67 | 593 | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 24.69 MXN | 0.0% | 32.19 MXN | 26.23 MXN | -1.04 | -28.81 | 0 | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 24.69 MXN | 0.0% | 32.70 MXN | 26.26 MXN | -0.93 | -28.75 | 0 | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 24.69 MXN | 0.8% | 33.21 MXN | 26.25 MXN | -0.86 | -29.43 | 1.3K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 24.50 MXN | -4.7% | 33.55 MXN | 26.25 MXN | -0.75 | -30.20 | 553 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 25.70 MXN | 7.1% | 33.89 MXN | 26.24 MXN | -0.61 | -27.39 | 0 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 24.00 MXN | -17.2% | 34.20 MXN | 26.23 MXN | -0.44 | -32.64 | 232 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 29.00 MXN | -6.5% | 34.68 MXN | 26.24 MXN | -0.29 | -16.47 | 5 | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 31.00 MXN | -3.0% | 34.99 MXN | 26.19 MXN | -0.06 | -13.69 | 250 | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 31.96 MXN | 1.5% | 35.49 MXN | 26.12 MXN | 0.05 | -10.39 | 1.0K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 31.50 MXN | 0.0% | 35.96 MXN | 26.05 MXN | 0.08 | -10.86 | 0 | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 31.50 MXN | -10.0% | 36.43 MXN | 25.99 MXN | 0.27 | -12.93 | 8.0K | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 35.00 MXN | 11.5% | 36.81 MXN | 25.91 MXN | 0.43 | -0.16 | 210 | Off |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 31.40 MXN | 10.2% | 36.91 MXN | 25.80 MXN | 0.74 | -11.78 | 552 | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.