KEEN JKT Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

PT Kencana Energi Lestari Tbk · Utilities · Utilities - Independent Power Producers

Latest close 875.0 IDR
4.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 15.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.2%, after a 4.8% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 46 out of 100
Latest Close 875.0 IDR 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 4.2% latest completed week
4W Return 4.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return 2.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 59.6% 31 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 39.67% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 15.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.2%, after a 4.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0612-week average 0.05

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure3/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.06Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 4.8% over four weeks, 2.1% over 12 weeks, and 8.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W4.2%
4W4.8%
12W2.1%
26W-16.7%
52W8.7%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year31
Trend breadth59.6%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.34Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change254.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership12.60Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-21.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.

0 positive · 2 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-41.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher9 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.0%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-9.4%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+4.2%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains2
Flat weeks1
Modest losses12
Sharp losses4
Recent vol4.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.6% / -3.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryID Utilities - Independent Power Producers
4-week rank2 / 3
Group average8.9%
Trend breadth33.3%
Trend33.3%active weekly trend signals
MD66.7%positive activity pressure
RS100.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026875.0 IDR4.2%917.3 IDR797.8 IDR0.3412.6042.5MOff
24 Jul 2026840.0 IDR-2.9%922.3 IDR797.2 IDR0.219.3652.4MOff
17 Jul 2026865.0 IDR4.8%928.4 IDR796.6 IDR0.0913.5041.5MOff
10 Jul 2026825.0 IDR-1.2%933.1 IDR796.0 IDR-0.0513.3739.2MOff
3 Jul 2026835.0 IDR0.0%940.6 IDR795.4 IDR-0.2216.0939.4MOff
26 Jun 2026835.0 IDR-3.5%949.9 IDR794.5 IDR-0.5716.187.7MOff
19 Jun 2026865.0 IDR3.4%962.4 IDR793.4 IDR-0.8015.377.7MOff
12 Jun 2026836.8 IDR7.0%971.6 IDR792.2 IDR-1.0215.2011.2MOff
5 Jun 2026782.3 IDR-7.6%978.7 IDR790.8 IDR-1.0516.189.7MOff
29 May 2026846.7 IDR-2.8%987.3 IDR790.3 IDR-1.0115.2419.6MOff
22 May 2026871.4 IDR-3.8%992.3 IDR789.2 IDR-1.0518.4042.0MOff
15 May 2026906.1 IDR5.8%996.2 IDR788.4 IDR-0.9213.2832.7MOff
8 May 2026856.6 IDR-3.9%998.8 IDR787.0 IDR-1.013.5743.9MOff
1 May 2026891.2 IDR-3.7%1,003 IDR784.9 IDR-1.057.9829.5MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.