CHA NASDAQ Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Chagee Holdings Limited American Depositary Shares · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants

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Latest close 11.20 USD
-0.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 0.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 16.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.9%, after a -7.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 29d.

Setup score 26 out of 100
Latest Close 11.20 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -0.9% latest completed week
4W Return -7.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 2.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -0.9% Latest completed week; four-week move -7.7%. Indicator stack 0/72 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Recent Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. News sentiment 54/100 43 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 29d Next report is scheduled for 28 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 0.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 16.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.9%, after a -7.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1712-week average 0.16

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.17Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -7.7% over four weeks, 2.2% over 12 weeks, and -49.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.9%
4W-7.7%
12W2.2%
26W-8.7%
52W-49.2%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.36Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-31.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-22.48Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change13.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 93%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength85/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
Value99/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Quality74/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
Momentum6/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 95; rank 1 is best.
Growth6/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 95; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
2.3x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
1.6x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
91.9%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
44.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
8.2%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
15.0%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
37.0%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-1.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-63.8%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-33.1%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
3/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
8.2%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
8.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-4.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 43 relevant articles.

14 positive · 23 neutral · 6 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings29dNext report is scheduled for 28 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-50.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility10.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+33.8%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-9.9%Week of 27 Mar.
Latest week-0.9%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses10
Recent vol10.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.2% / -5.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape25/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 25/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis32/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.17; No reversal markers Factors67/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 50; Small Cap Core rank 1 Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 43 relevant articles.

Chagee Holdings Ltd (CHA) Risk Assessment: Volatility, Financial Risk & Investment Risk Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings29d

Next report is scheduled for 28 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202611.20 USD-0.9%11.10 USD16.28 USD1.36-22.481.9MOff
17 Jul 202611.30 USD2.7%11.12 USD16.36 USD1.56-24.592.2MOff
10 Jul 202611.00 USD-0.1%11.16 USD16.43 USD1.65-31.182.5MOff
3 Jul 202611.01 USD-9.3%11.24 USD16.52 USD1.86-31.754.0MOff
26 Jun 202612.14 USD4.2%11.33 USD16.61 USD1.99-26.033.6MOff
19 Jun 202611.65 USD-4.2%11.40 USD16.68 USD2.12-33.742.9MOff
12 Jun 202612.16 USD5.4%11.44 USD16.76 USD2.14-30.954.0MOff
5 Jun 202611.54 USD-9.6%11.49 USD16.84 USD2.09-34.796.3MOff
29 May 202612.76 USD33.8%11.56 USD16.93 USD2.07-33.265.4MOff
22 May 20269.54 USD-3.0%11.63 USD17.00 USD2.02-49.902.4MOff
15 May 20269.84 USD-6.1%11.85 USD17.13 USD2.13-49.222.1MOff
8 May 202610.48 USD-4.4%12.02 USD17.26 USD2.00-47.552.4MOff
1 May 202610.96 USD2.0%12.17 USD17.38 USD1.75-43.932.2MOff
24 Apr 202610.74 USD3.4%12.33 USD17.50 USD1.66-46.082.3MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.