MTN NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Vail Resorts Inc · Consumer Cyclical · Resorts & Casinos

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Latest close 145.7 USD
-1.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 9.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 70.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.4%, after a 5.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is mixed with 37/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 60d.

Setup score 49 out of 100
Latest Close 145.7 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -1.4% latest completed week
4W Return 5.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return 17.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 17.3% 9 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 2-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -1.4% Latest completed week; four-week move 5.6%. Indicator stack 16/71 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Recent Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Mixed 37/100 conviction; expected move 12.7%. News sentiment 54/100 60 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 60d Next report is scheduled for 28 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 9.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 70.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.4%, after a 5.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4112-week average 0.14

12-week confirmation

Trend active2/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.41Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 5.6% over four weeks, 17.7% over 12 weeks, and -4.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 2 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.4%
4W5.6%
12W17.7%
26W7.2%
52W-4.8%
Active trend streak2 weeks
Active weeks in one year9
Trend breadth17.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.14Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change3.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-2.44Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change70.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Jul 2025 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 97%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength37/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 64; rank 1 is best.
Value30/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 71; rank 1 is best.
Quality92/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
Momentum23/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 78; rank 1 is best.
Growth13/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework42/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
29.2x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.8x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
11.4x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
8.4%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
55.5%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
15.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
25.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
8.5%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-4.3%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-38.5%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-17.8%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
8/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
6.1%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
4.7%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
10.8%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
3.9x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

MTN shows mixed options pressure with a 37/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.99, expected move of 12.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction37/100
Expected move12.7%
Put/call volume0.99
Pressure-4
Speculation16
Volatility69
Trend agreement93
Open options detail
Insider activity2 / 4

2 acquisitions and 4 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 60 relevant articles.

14 positive · 41 neutral · 5 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings60dNext report is scheduled for 28 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move12.7%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-7.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.6%Week of 19 Jun.
Worst week-12.1%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week-1.4%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses3
Recent vol3.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.0% / -3.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape44/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 44/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis32/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 2/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.41; No reversal markers Factors46/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 12; Small Cap Core rank 64 SVQF42/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 583.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Options58/100

MTN shows mixed options pressure with a 37/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.99, expected move of 12.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 12.7% Sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 60 relevant articles.

MGM Resorts (NYSE:MGM) Beats Q2 CY2026 Sales Expectations Insiders2 / 4

2 acquisitions and 4 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings60d

Next report is scheduled for 28 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026145.7 USD-1.4%133.3 USD160.4 USD1.14-2.443.3MOn
17 Jul 2026147.9 USD-1.5%133.0 USD160.8 USD1.22-2.013.6MOn
10 Jul 2026150.1 USD6.7%133.0 USD161.2 USD1.27-2.464.2MOff
3 Jul 2026140.7 USD2.0%133.2 USD161.6 USD1.18-7.842.4MOff
26 Jun 2026137.9 USD-3.1%133.2 USD162.1 USD1.10-8.234.2MOff
19 Jun 2026142.4 USD8.6%133.1 USD162.6 USD0.78-8.004.7MOff
12 Jun 2026131.1 USD-1.5%132.8 USD163.0 USD0.19-14.976.4MOff
5 Jun 2026133.2 USD1.3%133.1 USD163.5 USD-0.40-13.683.1MOff
29 May 2026131.4 USD4.7%133.4 USD164.0 USD-0.85-17.383.1MOff
22 May 2026125.5 USD5.0%133.8 USD164.6 USD-1.09-20.552.6MOff
15 May 2026119.6 USD-3.1%134.5 USD165.1 USD-1.11-24.173.6MOff
8 May 2026123.4 USD-0.3%135.4 USD165.7 USD-0.88-22.173.2MOff
1 May 2026123.8 USD5.7%136.1 USD166.2 USD-0.88-20.604.7MOff
24 Apr 2026117.1 USD-12.1%136.9 USD166.7 USD-0.86-24.646.2MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.