ELB GER Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

elumeo SE · Consumer Cyclical · Luxury Goods

Latest close 1.72 EUR
1.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -12.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 12.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.8%, after a 1.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 26 out of 100
Latest Close 1.72 EUR 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 1.8% latest completed week
4W Return 1.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return -10.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 51.9% 27 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 41.08% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -12.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 12.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.8%, after a 1.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.5x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0212-week average 0.03

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.02Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 1.2% over four weeks, -10.4% over 12 weeks, and -19.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.8%
4W1.2%
12W-10.4%
26W-21.8%
52W-19.6%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year27
Trend breadth51.9%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.07Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change107.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-22.07Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change11.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 76% Model confidence 62%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength71/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 30; rank 1 is best.
Value58/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 43; rank 1 is best.
Quality56/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 45; rank 1 is best.
Momentum58/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 43; rank 1 is best.
Growth61/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 40; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.3x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
3.4%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
47.8%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-6.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
1.0%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-49.0%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-9.9%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 3 relevant articles.

0 positive · 3 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-33.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher9 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.4%Week of 19 Jun.
Worst week-11.3%Week of 3 Apr.
Latest week+1.8%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains5
Flat weeks5
Modest losses6
Sharp losses6
Recent vol4.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split18/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.3% / -4.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20261.72 EUR1.8%1.97 EUR2.26 EUR0.07-22.07968Off
24 Jul 20261.69 EUR1.2%1.99 EUR2.26 EUR-0.06-22.245.0KOff
17 Jul 20261.67 EUR-1.8%2.01 EUR2.27 EUR-0.35-22.692.1KOff
10 Jul 20261.70 EUR0.0%2.02 EUR2.27 EUR-0.58-22.432.8KOff
3 Jul 20261.70 EUR-2.3%2.04 EUR2.28 EUR-0.95-25.012.7KOff
26 Jun 20261.74 EUR0.0%2.06 EUR2.28 EUR-1.18-20.340Off
19 Jun 20261.74 EUR7.4%2.08 EUR2.29 EUR-1.25-21.74900Off
12 Jun 20261.62 EUR-6.9%2.10 EUR2.30 EUR-1.38-26.361.0KOff
5 Jun 20261.74 EUR-2.8%2.12 EUR2.30 EUR-1.29-21.690Off
29 May 20261.79 EUR5.3%2.15 EUR2.31 EUR-1.23-20.812.9KOff
22 May 20261.70 EUR-9.6%2.16 EUR2.31 EUR-1.35-24.385.0KOff
15 May 20261.88 EUR-2.1%2.18 EUR2.32 EUR-1.37-13.47300Off
8 May 20261.92 EUR4.9%2.19 EUR2.32 EUR-1.51-13.28665Off
1 May 20261.83 EUR-2.7%2.20 EUR2.32 EUR-1.64-17.3449Off
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.