MOH GER Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne · Consumer Cyclical · Luxury Goods

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Latest close 474.9 EUR
2.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 17.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.8%, after a -4.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 62/100.

Setup score 38 out of 100
Latest Close 474.9 EUR 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 2.8% latest completed week
4W Return -4.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 0.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 32.7% 17 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 2.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 41.48% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 2.8% Latest completed week; four-week move -4.1%. Indicator stack 18/59 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Recent Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 41.48% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 62/100 3 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 17.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.8%, after a -4.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 2.4x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2412-week average 0.13

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.24Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -4.1% over four weeks, 0.2% over 12 weeks, and 5.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W2.8%
4W-4.1%
12W0.2%
26W-11.9%
52W5.6%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year17
Trend breadth32.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.51Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change4.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-14.00Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-28.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 74%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength51/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 50; rank 1 is best.
Value37/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 64; rank 1 is best.
Quality87/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 14; rank 1 is best.
Momentum37/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 64; rank 1 is best.
Growth9/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 92; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework61/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
20.9x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.8x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
9.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
5.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
66.2%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
21.9%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
17.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
13.9%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-4.6%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-12.8%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
6.2%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.8%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.7%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
3.5%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.1x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment62/100

Weighted news tone is positive across 3 relevant articles.

2 positive · 1 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-26.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.7%Week of 20 Feb.
Worst week-8.0%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+2.8%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses5
Recent vol3.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.4% / -2.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape36/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 36/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis27/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.24; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 41.48%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 41.48% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors53/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 31 SVQF61/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 145.5 of 372 Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Sentiment62/100

Weighted news tone is positive across 3 relevant articles.

Why is LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton stock climbing today? By Investing.com Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026474.9 EUR2.8%498.8 EUR597.8 EUR0.51-14.0037.3KOff
24 Jul 2026462.0 EUR-6.7%504.0 EUR599.7 EUR0.52-14.6428.4KOff
17 Jul 2026495.0 EUR1.1%509.2 EUR601.8 EUR0.55-7.6412.0KOff
10 Jul 2026489.5 EUR-1.2%513.5 EUR603.8 EUR0.52-9.4713.5KOff
3 Jul 2026495.5 EUR0.0%517.6 EUR606.0 EUR0.48-10.8913.4KOff
26 Jun 2026495.5 EUR-0.9%521.7 EUR607.8 EUR0.28-6.931.9KOff
19 Jun 2026500.0 EUR-2.1%525.9 EUR609.8 EUR0.23-7.106.7KOff
12 Jun 2026510.6 EUR6.6%529.5 EUR611.6 EUR0.11-3.689.1KOff
5 Jun 2026479.1 EUR-0.2%533.1 EUR613.5 EUR-0.15-9.954.5KOff
29 May 2026480.2 EUR1.6%536.7 EUR615.4 EUR-0.19-10.9521.9KOff
22 May 2026472.8 EUR3.8%540.6 EUR617.3 EUR-0.53-11.5917.8KOff
15 May 2026455.6 EUR-3.9%544.8 EUR619.4 EUR-0.75-11.5215.3KOff
8 May 2026473.9 EUR5.0%549.3 EUR621.7 EUR-0.77-9.5823.5KOff
1 May 2026451.4 EUR-2.8%551.3 EUR624.0 EUR-0.96-13.8013.2KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.