ERO TOR Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Ero Copper Corp. · Basic Materials · Copper

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Latest close 37.64 CAD
2.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -3.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 54.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.6%, after a -1.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 56/100.

Setup score 36 out of 100
Latest Close 37.64 CAD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 2.6% latest completed week
4W Return -1.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return -3.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 78.8% 41 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 2.6% Latest completed week; four-week move -1.1%. Indicator stack 43/28 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. News sentiment 56/100 52 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -3.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 54.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.6%, after a -1.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4212-week average 0.39

12-week confirmation

Trend active1/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership9/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.42Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers11 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 1 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -1.1% over four weeks, -3.4% over 12 weeks, and 103.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W2.6%
4W-1.1%
12W-3.4%
26W-17.6%
52W103.3%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year41
Trend breadth78.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.62Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-136.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership0.06Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-98.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 87%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength92/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
Value64/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 37; rank 1 is best.
Quality94/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Momentum90/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 11; rank 1 is best.
Growth88/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 13; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework66/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
13.1x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
4.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
8.4x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
3.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
42.8%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
34.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
15.0%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
14.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
67.1%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
8/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.2%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-0.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 52 relevant articles.

19 positive · 31 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-29.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility9.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+14.7%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-19.3%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+2.6%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses11
Recent vol9.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.8% / -5.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape36/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 36/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis30/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 1/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 9/12.

Activity pressure 0.42; 1 reversal markers Factors85/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 74; Small Cap Core rank 72 SVQF66/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 103.0 of 298 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 52 relevant articles.

ERO|Ero Copper Corp|Price:27.060|Chg%:+1.780 Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202637.64 CAD2.6%39.11 CAD26.87 CAD-0.620.061.5MOff
24 Jul 202636.69 CAD8.3%39.18 CAD26.82 CAD-0.58-2.191.6MOff
17 Jul 202633.89 CAD-6.5%39.21 CAD26.78 CAD-0.54-8.831.9MOff
10 Jul 202636.23 CAD-4.8%39.29 CAD26.74 CAD-0.30-2.212.1MOff
3 Jul 202638.06 CAD1.2%39.24 CAD26.70 CAD-0.263.391.6MOff
26 Jun 202637.61 CAD-11.2%39.13 CAD26.62 CAD-0.503.41611.4KOff
19 Jun 202642.35 CAD3.1%39.05 CAD26.55 CAD-0.4316.94428.5KOff
12 Jun 202641.07 CAD14.7%38.65 CAD26.45 CAD-0.6714.40749.7KOff
5 Jun 202635.81 CAD-14.8%38.29 CAD26.36 CAD-0.742.04666.8KOff
29 May 202642.01 CAD12.6%38.10 CAD26.29 CAD-0.5718.992.1MOn
22 May 202637.30 CAD-0.7%37.70 CAD26.17 CAD-0.807.511.3MOff
15 May 202637.57 CAD-3.6%37.43 CAD26.09 CAD-0.7911.022.8MOff
8 May 202638.96 CAD13.8%37.21 CAD26.01 CAD-0.8315.203.5MOn
1 May 202634.25 CAD-8.1%36.90 CAD25.91 CAD-0.872.642.7MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.