- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
CAST
NASDAQ
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
FreeCast, Inc. Class A Common Stock · Communication Services · Broadcasting
Latest close
1.23 USD
-36.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is - below the Trend Line and sits at 2.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -36.3%, after a -71.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 11d.
Setup score
20
out of 100
Latest Close
1.23 USD
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
-36.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
-71.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-18.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
0.0%
0 of 21 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.1x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 20.37% based on similar historical setup states.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-36.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move -71.7%.
Indicator stack
0/50
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 20.37%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
21 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
11d
Next report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is - below the Trend Line and sits at 2.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -36.3%, after a -71.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.1x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.2212-week average 0.08
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.22Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -71.7% over four weeks, -18.0% over 12 weeks, and - over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.00Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 27%
Model confidence 26%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength61/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 40; rank 1 is best.
Value54/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 47; rank 1 is best.
Quality53/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 48; rank 1 is best.
Momentum55/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 46; rank 1 is best.
Growth55/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 46; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- - Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- - Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- - Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- - Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- - Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- - Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- - Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 1/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- - Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 21 relevant articles.
1 positive · 18 neutral · 2 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings11dNext report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-96.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility122.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
31 Jul
Weeks higher4 of 2016 weeks finished lower.
Best week+420.6%Week of 19 Jun.
Worst week-43.3%Week of 3 Jul.
Latest week-36.3%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains0
Flat weeks0
Modest losses1
Sharp losses15
Recent vol122.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol101.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split4/16Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew152.3% / -22.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Communication Services
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-0.4%
Trend breadth44.0%
Trend44.0%active weekly trend signals
MD45.0%positive activity pressure
RS32.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Broadcasting
4-week rank16 / 16
Group average-14.7%
Trend breadth18.8%
Trend18.8%active weekly trend signals
MD43.8%positive activity pressure
RS6.2%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape23/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 23/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis8/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.22; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 20.37%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 20.37% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors55/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 48; Small Cap Core rank 51 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 21 relevant articles.
FreeCast, Inc. (CAST) director Eric Seidel files initial ownership form Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings11dNext report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 1.23 USD | -36.3% | - | 3.02 USD | 0.00 | - | 3.4M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 1.93 USD | -26.9% | - | 3.11 USD | 0.00 | - | 1.6M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 2.64 USD | -7.7% | - | 3.17 USD | 0.00 | - | 2.7M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 2.86 USD | -34.1% | - | 3.20 USD | 0.00 | - | 3.9M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 4.34 USD | -43.3% | - | 3.22 USD | 0.00 | - | 12.6M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 7.65 USD | -5.2% | - | 3.15 USD | 0.00 | - | 20.6M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 8.07 USD | 420.6% | - | 2.85 USD | 0.00 | - | 293.4M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 1.55 USD | 128.8% | - | 2.48 USD | 0.00 | - | 218.3M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 0.68 USD | -18.3% | - | 2.55 USD | 0.00 | - | 896.4K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 0.83 USD | -17.9% | - | 2.70 USD | 0.00 | - | 1.9M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 1.01 USD | -29.9% | - | 2.88 USD | 0.00 | - | 1.1M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 1.44 USD | -4.0% | - | 3.06 USD | 0.00 | - | 1.1M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 1.50 USD | -29.2% | - | 3.24 USD | 0.00 | - | 968.1K | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 2.12 USD | -0.5% | - | 3.46 USD | 0.00 | - | 6.2M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.