DB1 GER Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Deutsche Börse AG · Financial Services · Financial Data & Stock Exchanges

Latest close 262.3 EUR
1.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 9.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 88.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.6%, after a 5.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 55/100.

Setup score 68 out of 100
Latest Close 262.3 EUR 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 1.6% latest completed week
4W Return 5.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return 10.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 36.5% 19 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 19-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 57.62% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 9.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 88.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.6%, after a 5.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5912-week average 0.72

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.59Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 5.0% over four weeks, 10.0% over 12 weeks, and 4.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 19 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.6%
4W5.0%
12W10.0%
26W25.1%
52W4.8%
Active trend streak19 weeks
Active weeks in one year19
Trend breadth36.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.08Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change85.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership6.51Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change1215.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 88% Model confidence 88%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength26/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 75; rank 1 is best.
Value20/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Quality81/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 20; rank 1 is best.
Momentum38/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 63; rank 1 is best.
Growth45/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 56; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework55/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
23.3x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
6.3x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
15.0x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
4.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
57.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
40.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
32.9%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
13.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.6%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
1.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.7%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.8x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 32 relevant articles.

8 positive · 22 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-3.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher17 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.0%Week of 3 Apr.
Worst week-7.2%Week of 8 May.
Latest week+1.6%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains12
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses1
Recent vol3.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.5% / -2.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026262.3 EUR1.6%239.1 EUR213.1 EUR-0.086.511.6MOn
24 Jul 2026258.1 EUR0.5%237.5 EUR212.4 EUR-0.196.931.7MOn
17 Jul 2026256.9 EUR3.2%236.2 EUR211.9 EUR-0.437.561.4MOn
10 Jul 2026249.0 EUR-0.3%234.9 EUR211.2 EUR-0.563.201.3MOn
3 Jul 2026249.8 EUR4.8%233.6 EUR210.6 EUR-0.550.491.6MOn
26 Jun 2026238.3 EUR-2.3%232.5 EUR210.0 EUR-0.59-0.13297.9KOn
19 Jun 2026244.0 EUR-2.2%232.2 EUR209.5 EUR-0.310.64910.2KOn
12 Jun 2026249.5 EUR1.5%231.2 EUR209.0 EUR0.054.02363.3KOn
5 Jun 2026245.9 EUR-0.7%229.6 EUR208.4 EUR0.261.80292.4KOn
29 May 2026247.6 EUR-3.3%228.3 EUR207.8 EUR0.490.772.0MOn
22 May 2026256.0 EUR4.7%227.2 EUR207.3 EUR0.764.732.2MOn
15 May 2026244.4 EUR2.5%226.2 EUR206.6 EUR0.933.562.0MOn
8 May 2026238.5 EUR-7.2%225.3 EUR206.1 EUR1.20-0.832.8MOn
1 May 2026257.1 EUR-1.9%224.8 EUR205.6 EUR1.406.661.4MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.