- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
SB1
GER
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Smartbroker Holding AG · Financial Services · Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
Latest close
8.68 EUR
-4.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -26.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 2.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.4%, after a -11.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
16
out of 100
Latest Close
8.68 EUR
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
-4.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
-11.2%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-32.7%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
28.8%
15 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.7x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-4.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move -11.2%.
Indicator stack
16/24
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 42.98%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
0 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -26.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 2.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.4%, after a -11.2% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1312-week average 0.13
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.13Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -11.2% over four weeks, -32.7% over 12 weeks, and -20.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year15
Trend breadth28.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.19Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-63.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-32.20Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-26.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 76%
Model confidence 62%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength3/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 98; rank 1 is best.
Value23/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 78; rank 1 is best.
Quality11/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
Momentum22/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 79; rank 1 is best.
Growth84/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 17; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 2.2x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 0.4% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 45.0% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- -14.8% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 0.8% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -35.1% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 20.0% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -90.5% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 256.8x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
0 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-44.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher9 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.2%Week of 6 Mar.
Worst week-10.7%Week of 13 Feb.
Latest week-4.4%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains6
Flat weeks1
Modest losses8
Sharp losses8
Recent vol3.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.1% / -3.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorDE Financial Services
4-week rank90 / 95
Group average0.1%
Trend breadth58.9%
Trend58.9%active weekly trend signals
MD67.4%positive activity pressure
RS49.5%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryDE Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
4-week rank5 / 5
Group average-0.8%
Trend breadth60.0%
Trend60.0%active weekly trend signals
MD40.0%positive activity pressure
RS40.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape18/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 18/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis16/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 1/12.
Activity pressure 0.13; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 42.98%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 42.98% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors13/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 80; Small Cap Core rank 87 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 8.68 EUR | -4.4% | 11.81 EUR | 10.03 EUR | -1.19 | -32.20 | 16.1K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 9.08 EUR | 2.5% | 12.01 EUR | 10.03 EUR | -1.05 | -27.92 | 35.2K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 8.86 EUR | -1.3% | 12.21 EUR | 10.03 EUR | -0.87 | -29.20 | 18.2K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 8.98 EUR | -8.2% | 12.42 EUR | 10.03 EUR | -0.79 | -29.23 | 92.7K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 9.78 EUR | -6.0% | 12.61 EUR | 10.03 EUR | -0.73 | -25.40 | 30.9K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 10.40 EUR | -2.8% | 12.78 EUR | 10.03 EUR | -0.61 | -17.40 | 25.3K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 10.70 EUR | -5.7% | 12.88 EUR | 10.02 EUR | -0.45 | -16.43 | 6.4K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 11.35 EUR | -3.4% | 12.91 EUR | 10.02 EUR | -0.20 | -10.50 | 1.6K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 11.75 EUR | -4.1% | 12.95 EUR | 10.01 EUR | 0.01 | -8.10 | 1.5K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 12.25 EUR | 0.0% | 12.94 EUR | 9.99 EUR | 0.12 | -5.67 | 13.6K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 12.25 EUR | -3.2% | 12.92 EUR | 9.98 EUR | -0.06 | -5.03 | 10.2K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 12.65 EUR | -1.9% | 12.91 EUR | 9.96 EUR | -0.14 | 1.74 | 20.4K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 12.90 EUR | 4.5% | 12.87 EUR | 9.94 EUR | -0.30 | 2.12 | 20.3K | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 12.35 EUR | -2.8% | 12.81 EUR | 9.92 EUR | -0.61 | -2.04 | 6.0K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.