VLY NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Valley National Bancorp · Financial Services · Banks - Regional

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Latest close 14.29 USD
-0.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 8.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 85.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.3%, after a -2.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bearish with 45/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 60/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 86d.

Setup score 65 out of 100
Latest Close 14.29 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -0.3% latest completed week
4W Return -2.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 7.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 96.2% 50 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 50-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -0.3% Latest completed week; four-week move -2.1%. Indicator stack 98/63 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bearish 45/100 conviction; expected move 6.1%. News sentiment 60/100 59 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 86d Next report is scheduled for 29 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 8.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 85.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.3%, after a -2.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9712-week average 0.84

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.97Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -2.1% over four weeks, 7.4% over 12 weeks, and 61.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 50 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.3%
4W-2.1%
12W7.4%
26W16.7%
52W61.4%
Active trend streak50 weeks
Active weeks in one year50
Trend breadth96.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.87Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-34.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership8.99Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-4.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 02 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength38/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 63; rank 1 is best.
Value30/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 71; rank 1 is best.
Quality21/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 80; rank 1 is best.
Momentum93/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Growth28/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 73; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework73/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
11.4x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
23.1x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
3.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
50.5%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
14.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
11.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
3.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-15.1%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
53.2%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
3.1%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.7%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
3.8%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
5.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBearish

VLY shows bearish options pressure with a 45/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 2.06, expected move of 6.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction45/100
Expected move6.1%
Put/call volume2.06
Pressure-47
Speculation17
Volatility62
Trend agreement59
Open options detail
Insider activity11 / 6

11 acquisitions and 6 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment60/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 59 relevant articles.

23 positive · 35 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings86dNext report is scheduled for 29 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move6.1%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-6.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.0%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-5.6%Week of 27 Feb.
Latest week-0.3%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses2
Recent vol3.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.4% / -2.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape69/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 69/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis80/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 11/12.

Activity pressure 0.97; 2 reversal markers Factors43/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 33; Small Cap Core rank 43 SVQF73/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 194.0 of 725 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options44/100

VLY shows bearish options pressure with a 45/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 2.06, expected move of 6.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bearish · Put-side pressure · Expected move 6.1% Sentiment60/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 59 relevant articles.

Valley National Bancorp (VLY) Valuation: PE, PB & Fair Value Analysis Insiders11 / 6

11 acquisitions and 6 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings86d

Next report is scheduled for 29 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202614.29 USD-0.3%13.17 USD9.41 USD0.878.9932.5MOn
24 Jul 202614.34 USD-4.1%13.08 USD9.38 USD1.0910.5046.7MOn
17 Jul 202614.95 USD2.1%12.99 USD9.34 USD1.2913.9235.3MOn
10 Jul 202614.64 USD0.3%12.89 USD9.30 USD1.227.4724.6MOn
3 Jul 202614.59 USD-0.9%12.79 USD9.25 USD1.349.4524.3MOn
26 Jun 202614.72 USD4.5%12.68 USD9.20 USD1.2211.7939.0MOn
19 Jun 202614.09 USD-2.9%12.55 USD9.15 USD0.872.7334.1MOn
12 Jun 202614.52 USD6.2%12.43 USD9.10 USD0.579.0338.8MOn
5 Jun 202613.67 USD0.1%12.30 USD9.05 USD0.025.5625.4MOn
29 May 202613.66 USD1.6%12.20 USD9.01 USD-0.181.0824.0MOn
22 May 202613.45 USD4.8%12.10 USD8.97 USD-0.242.6026.8MOn
15 May 202612.83 USD-3.6%12.01 USD8.93 USD-0.13-0.6527.5MOn
8 May 202613.31 USD-0.7%11.90 USD8.88 USD0.012.8524.4MOn
1 May 202613.41 USD1.0%11.79 USD8.83 USD0.019.4822.2MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.