IFT NZE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Infratil Limited · Industrials · Conglomerates

Latest close 14.78 NZD
-4.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 77.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.8%, after a -2.2% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 59 out of 100
Latest Close 14.78 NZD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -4.8% latest completed week
4W Return -2.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return -0.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 61.5% 32 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 13-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 77.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.8%, after a -2.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9512-week average 0.82

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.95Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -2.2% over four weeks, -0.8% over 12 weeks, and 27.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 13 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-4.8%
4W-2.2%
12W-0.8%
26W33.4%
52W27.9%
Active trend streak13 weeks
Active weeks in one year32
Trend breadth61.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.30Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-70.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership14.73Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-27.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 22 relevant articles.

5 positive · 14 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-7.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+18.0%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-4.8%Week of 31 Jul.
Latest week-4.8%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses1
Recent vol5.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.3% / -2.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryNZ Conglomerates
4-week rank2 / 3
Group average-18.2%
Trend breadth33.3%
Trend33.3%active weekly trend signals
MD66.7%positive activity pressure
RS33.3%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202614.78 NZD-4.8%13.03 NZD11.28 NZD0.3014.733.8MOn
24 Jul 202615.53 NZD1.4%12.90 NZD11.24 NZD0.5620.343.2MOn
17 Jul 202615.32 NZD-1.2%12.76 NZD11.20 NZD0.7019.983.4MOn
10 Jul 202615.50 NZD2.5%12.62 NZD11.16 NZD0.9421.162.9MOn
3 Jul 202615.12 NZD-0.5%12.48 NZD11.13 NZD1.0020.314.5MOn
26 Jun 202615.20 NZD0.9%12.37 NZD11.09 NZD1.0922.75714.4KOn
19 Jun 202615.07 NZD1.8%12.25 NZD11.06 NZD1.3322.426.8MOn
12 Jun 202614.81 NZD-3.1%12.13 NZD11.02 NZD1.4421.911.4MOn
5 Jun 202615.28 NZD-2.2%12.03 NZD10.98 NZD1.6728.811.2MOn
29 May 202615.62 NZD-0.9%11.93 NZD10.95 NZD1.8531.8213.3MOn
22 May 202615.76 NZD4.3%11.82 NZD10.91 NZD1.7436.606.2MOn
15 May 202615.11 NZD1.4%11.70 NZD10.87 NZD1.6432.278.2MOn
8 May 202614.91 NZD18.0%11.61 NZD10.83 NZD1.4029.157.9MOn
1 May 202612.64 NZD4.3%11.52 NZD10.79 NZD1.1711.194.6MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.