PGW NZE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

PGG Wrightson Limited · Industrials · Conglomerates

Latest close 2.21 NZD
1.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 2.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 45.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.8%, after a -2.2% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 57/100.

Setup score 48 out of 100
Latest Close 2.21 NZD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 1.8% latest completed week
4W Return -2.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return 3.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 34.6% 18 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 42.28% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 2.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 45.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.8%, after a -2.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.7x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3212-week average 0.24

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership2/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.32Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -2.2% over four weeks, 3.3% over 12 weeks, and 1.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.8%
4W-2.2%
12W3.3%
26W-0.3%
52W1.4%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year18
Trend breadth34.6%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.79Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change15415.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-1.79Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-318.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 12 relevant articles.

4 positive · 8 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-11.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+4.8%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-5.4%Week of 3 Apr.
Latest week+1.8%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains2
Modest gains12
Flat weeks1
Modest losses8
Sharp losses3
Recent vol2.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.6% / -2.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryNZ Conglomerates
4-week rank1 / 3
Group average-18.2%
Trend breadth33.3%
Trend33.3%active weekly trend signals
MD66.7%positive activity pressure
RS33.3%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20262.21 NZD1.8%2.16 NZD2.20 NZD0.79-1.79108.8KOff
24 Jul 20262.17 NZD0.5%2.16 NZD2.21 NZD0.83-4.1952.7KOff
17 Jul 20262.16 NZD-2.3%2.16 NZD2.22 NZD0.90-4.1797.0KOff
10 Jul 20262.21 NZD-2.2%2.16 NZD2.23 NZD0.48-2.5753.4KOff
3 Jul 20262.26 NZD2.7%2.15 NZD2.24 NZD0.010.8269.3KOff
26 Jun 20262.20 NZD4.8%2.15 NZD2.25 NZD-0.55-0.86127.0KOff
19 Jun 20262.10 NZD0.0%2.15 NZD2.26 NZD-1.05-5.293.9KOff
12 Jun 20262.10 NZD-0.5%2.15 NZD2.27 NZD-0.98-4.531.3KOff
5 Jun 20262.11 NZD2.9%2.15 NZD2.28 NZD-0.80-2.3910.3KOff
29 May 20262.05 NZD-2.8%2.15 NZD2.29 NZD-0.73-5.6776.6KOff
22 May 20262.11 NZD-4.1%2.16 NZD2.30 NZD-0.42-1.0885.4KOff
15 May 20262.20 NZD2.8%2.16 NZD2.32 NZD-0.363.5659.0KOff
8 May 20262.14 NZD-2.7%2.17 NZD2.33 NZD-0.48-0.5363.9KOff
1 May 20262.20 NZD1.4%2.18 NZD2.34 NZD-0.403.5676.0KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.