ESRT NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Empire State Realty Trust Inc · Real Estate · Reit - Diversified

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Latest close 5.06 USD
-10.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -10.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 7.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -10.6%, after a -11.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 66/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 51/100.

Setup score 26 out of 100
Latest Close 5.06 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -10.6% latest completed week
4W Return -11.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return -10.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 1.9% 1 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -10.6% Latest completed week; four-week move -11.1%. Indicator stack 1/60 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Recent Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 66/100 conviction; expected move 6.6%. News sentiment 51/100 64 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 29 Jul Latest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -10.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 7.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -10.6%, after a -11.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1612-week average 0.12

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.16Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals3Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -11.1% over four weeks, -10.8% over 12 weeks, and -27.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-10.6%
4W-11.1%
12W-10.8%
26W-22.7%
52W-27.6%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year1
Trend breadth1.9%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.68Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-26.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-26.25Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-31.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength49/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 52; rank 1 is best.
Value74/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
Quality33/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 68; rank 1 is best.
Momentum14/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 87; rank 1 is best.
Growth9/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 92; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
24.6x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.3x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
11.1x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
10.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
-10.3%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
21.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
52.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
4.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
1.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-26.8%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
4.6%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.5%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.8%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
3.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
6.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

ESRT shows volatility options pressure with a 66/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 101.54, expected move of 6.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction66/100
Expected move6.6%
Put/call volume101.54
Pressure-86
Speculation46
Volatility83
Trend agreement44
Open options detail
Insider activity14 / 0

14 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 64 relevant articles.

13 positive · 40 neutral · 11 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings29 JulLatest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
Options expected move6.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-35.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.3%Week of 17 Jul.
Worst week-10.6%Week of 31 Jul.
Latest week-10.6%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses8
Recent vol5.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.0% / -4.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape26/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 26/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis30/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.16; No reversal markers Factors42/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 32; Small Cap Core rank 18 Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Options52/100

ESRT shows volatility options pressure with a 66/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 101.54, expected move of 6.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 6.6% Sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 64 relevant articles.

Empire State Realty Trust (NYSE: ESRT) files to register 29.9M shares for Qatar-linked holder resale Insiders14 / 0

14 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings29 Jul

Latest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20265.06 USD-10.6%5.63 USD8.04 USD0.68-26.2513.3MOff
24 Jul 20265.66 USD-1.9%5.68 USD8.06 USD0.88-17.407.0MOff
17 Jul 20265.77 USD6.3%5.70 USD8.08 USD0.87-16.967.1MOff
10 Jul 20265.43 USD-4.6%5.73 USD8.09 USD0.80-23.727.2MOff
3 Jul 20265.69 USD6.0%5.77 USD8.10 USD0.91-19.929.5MOff
26 Jun 20265.37 USD2.5%5.80 USD8.11 USD0.88-23.6412.0MOff
19 Jun 20265.24 USD-3.0%5.85 USD8.12 USD0.82-28.0712.7MOff
12 Jun 20265.40 USD3.2%5.90 USD8.13 USD0.74-26.1721.5MOff
5 Jun 20265.24 USD-8.0%5.95 USD8.14 USD0.46-29.0312.1MOff
29 May 20265.69 USD2.7%6.02 USD8.15 USD0.36-25.725.4MOff
22 May 20265.54 USD3.7%6.07 USD8.15 USD0.26-27.347.2MOff
15 May 20265.34 USD-5.8%6.15 USD8.15 USD-0.01-29.987.0MOff
8 May 20265.67 USD1.6%6.21 USD8.15 USD-0.14-26.328.6MOff
1 May 20265.58 USD1.1%6.25 USD8.15 USD-0.57-26.468.8MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.