SHAK MEX Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Shake Shack Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants

Latest close 1,078 MXN
8.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -23.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 11.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 8.8%, after a 9.2% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 48/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 24 out of 100
Latest Close 1,078 MXN 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 8.8% latest completed week
4W Return 9.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return -11.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 9.6% 5 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -23.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 11.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 8.8%, after a 9.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.1x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0712-week average 0.20

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.07Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 9.2% over four weeks, -11.7% over 12 weeks, and -53.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W8.8%
4W9.2%
12W-11.7%
26W-34.1%
52W-53.8%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year5
Trend breadth9.6%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.74Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change35.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-32.46Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change24.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment48/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 22 relevant articles.

4 positive · 14 neutral · 4 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-53.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility11.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 267 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.8%Week of 31 Jul.
Worst week-32.8%Week of 8 May.
Latest week+8.8%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains9
Flat weeks4
Modest losses1
Sharp losses6
Recent vol11.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/18Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.0% / -8.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20261,078 MXN8.8%1,403 MXN1,691 MXN-0.74-32.46165Off
24 Jul 2026991.0 MXN-5.4%1,415 MXN1,692 MXN-0.85-38.61100Off
17 Jul 20261,048 MXN1.6%1,433 MXN1,695 MXN-0.91-36.6435Off
10 Jul 20261,032 MXN4.6%1,447 MXN1,696 MXN-1.00-38.72418Off
3 Jul 2026987.0 MXN2.0%1,460 MXN1,698 MXN-1.14-43.02347Off
26 Jun 2026968.0 MXN-6.0%1,474 MXN1,700 MXN-1.24-45.310Off
19 Jun 20261,030 MXN8.4%1,493 MXN1,702 MXN-1.25-43.330Off
12 Jun 2026950.0 MXN3.5%1,510 MXN1,703 MXN-1.18-48.900Off
5 Jun 2026918.0 MXN-18.8%1,534 MXN1,705 MXN-1.05-50.22528Off
29 May 20261,131 MXN1.5%1,563 MXN1,707 MXN-0.79-41.981.3KOff
22 May 20261,114 MXN3.1%1,586 MXN1,707 MXN-0.18-43.636.8KOff
15 May 20261,080 MXN-11.5%1,607 MXN1,707 MXN0.26-45.825.6KOff
8 May 20261,221 MXN-32.8%1,627 MXN1,708 MXN0.70-41.028.1KOff
1 May 20261,816 MXN0.0%1,642 MXN1,708 MXN0.88-10.570On
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.