FRHC NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Freedom Holding Corp · Financial Services · Financial Conglomerates

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Latest close 151.3 USD
0.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 8.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 50.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.2%, after a -6.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 39/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 56/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 12d.

Setup score 44 out of 100
Latest Close 151.3 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.2% latest completed week
4W Return -6.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 8.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 46.2% 24 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 12-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 1 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
  • Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 0.2% Latest completed week; four-week move -6.7%. Indicator stack 67/68 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Mixed 39/100 conviction; expected move 11.6%. News sentiment 56/100 50 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 12d Next report is scheduled for 14 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 8.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 50.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.2%, after a -6.7% four-week move.

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52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5212-week average 0.50

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.52Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers11 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 1 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -6.7% over four weeks, 8.2% over 12 weeks, and -17.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 12 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.2%
4W-6.7%
12W8.2%
26W22.3%
52W-17.0%
Active trend streak12 weeks
Active weeks in one year24
Trend breadth46.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.35Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change142.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-5.35Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-15.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 93%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength13/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
Value12/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
Quality80/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 21; rank 1 is best.
Momentum17/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Growth72/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework53/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
62.7x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
4.5x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
14.7x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
4.1%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
58.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
33.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
21.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
17.0%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
8.6%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
81.1%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-74.5%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.8x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

FRHC shows mixed options pressure with a 39/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 11.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction39/100
Expected move11.6%
Put/call volume
Pressure-11
Speculation0
Volatility82
Trend agreement99
Open options detail
Insider activity4 / 10

4 acquisitions and 10 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 50 relevant articles.

12 positive · 33 neutral · 5 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings12dNext report is scheduled for 14 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move11.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-22.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+25.9%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-10.4%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week+0.2%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains11
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses6
Recent vol8.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.1% / -3.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape47/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 47/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis62/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.52; 1 reversal markers Factors30/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 57; Small Cap Core rank 96 SVQF53/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 339.0 of 726 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options61/100

FRHC shows mixed options pressure with a 39/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 11.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 11.6% Sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 50 relevant articles.

Turkish Bank Becomes Freedom Bank After Freedom Holding Acquisition Insiders4 / 10

4 acquisitions and 10 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings12d

Next report is scheduled for 14 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026151.3 USD0.2%139.5 USD118.6 USD0.35-5.35479.7KOn
24 Jul 2026151.0 USD-1.1%138.6 USD118.1 USD0.46-5.85554.0KOn
17 Jul 2026152.7 USD-8.1%138.0 USD117.7 USD0.33-6.98875.9KOn
10 Jul 2026166.1 USD2.4%137.4 USD117.2 USD0.36-3.811.2MOn
3 Jul 2026162.2 USD25.9%136.5 USD116.7 USD0.14-4.62870.5KOn
26 Jun 2026128.8 USD-10.4%135.5 USD116.1 USD0.27-23.79737.7KOn
19 Jun 2026143.7 USD4.0%135.6 USD115.8 USD0.52-19.341.2MOn
12 Jun 2026138.2 USD-6.9%135.3 USD115.4 USD0.62-20.79800.7KOn
5 Jun 2026148.5 USD4.0%135.3 USD115.1 USD0.67-13.531.6MOn
29 May 2026142.8 USD-0.9%135.1 USD114.6 USD0.47-21.11472.0KOn
22 May 2026144.2 USD2.9%135.5 USD114.2 USD0.42-18.88603.9KOn
15 May 2026140.0 USD0.2%135.9 USD113.8 USD0.41-21.06363.0KOn
8 May 2026139.8 USD3.5%136.7 USD113.5 USD0.72-22.28319.0KOff
1 May 2026135.1 USD-8.8%137.4 USD113.1 USD0.98-21.50286.9KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.