- The trend backdrop is active with a 8-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 61.41% based on similar historical setup states.
ETOR
NASDAQ
Week ended 24 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
eToro Group Ltd. · Financial Services · Capital Markets
Latest close
36.78 USD
2.2%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 29.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.2%, after a -9.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 50/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 13d.
Setup score
34
out of 100
Latest Close
36.78 USD
24 Jul 2026
1W Return
2.2%
latest completed week
4W Return
-9.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-0.4%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
15.4%
8 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.6x
vs 13-week average
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
2.2%
Latest completed week; four-week move -9.7%.
Indicator stack
36/49
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 61.41%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Volatility
50/100 conviction; expected move 14.1%.
News sentiment
54/100
51 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
13d
Next report is scheduled for 11 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 29.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.2%, after a -9.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.6212-week average 0.37
12-week confirmation
Trend active8/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.62Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -9.7% over four weeks, -0.4% over 12 weeks, and -43.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 8 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak8 weeks
Active weeks in one year8
Trend breadth15.4%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.24Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-72.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-11.44Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-2.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 97%
Model confidence 93%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength84/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 17; rank 1 is best.
Value94/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Quality78/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
Momentum7/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 94; rank 1 is best.
Growth33/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 68; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework97/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 12.3x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.3x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 5.8x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 17.8% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 7.6% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 3.0% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 3.3% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 73.2% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -20.5% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 26.5% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 8.1% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 6/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -10.9% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -10.9% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -3.1x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningVolatility
ETOR shows volatility options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.01, expected move of 14.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.
Conviction50/100
Expected move14.1%
Put/call volume0.01
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment54/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 51 relevant articles.
18 positive · 26 neutral · 7 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings13dNext report is scheduled for 11 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move14.1%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-44.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
30 Jan
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
24 Jul
Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+18.0%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-8.9%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week+2.2%Week of 24 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses5
Recent vol4.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/30Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.1% / -5.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Financial Services
4-week rank- / 100
Group average5.2%
Trend breadth58.0%
Trend58.0%active weekly trend signals
MD88.0%positive activity pressure
RS52.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Capital Markets
4-week rank55 / 84
Group average-4.9%
Trend breadth29.8%
Trend29.8%active weekly trend signals
MD47.6%positive activity pressure
RS19.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape37/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 37/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis57/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 8/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.62; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 61.41%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 61.41% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors67/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Cornerstone Growth rank 97; Buyback Yield rank 87; Small Cap Core rank 24 SVQF97/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 25.0 of 726 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options35/100ETOR shows volatility options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.01, expected move of 14.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.
Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 14.1% Sentiment54/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 51 relevant articles.
eToro Group Ltd (ETOR) Financial Health: Profitability & Balance Sheet Analysis Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings13dNext report is scheduled for 11 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 36.78 USD | 2.2% | 34.67 USD | 42.17 USD | 0.24 | -11.44 | 2.5M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 35.98 USD | -8.1% | 34.63 USD | 42.26 USD | 0.63 | -16.38 | 4.1M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 39.15 USD | -3.3% | 34.64 USD | 42.36 USD | 0.87 | -14.13 | 3.6M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 40.47 USD | -0.6% | 34.60 USD | 42.41 USD | 0.91 | -11.00 | 2.8M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 40.73 USD | 4.2% | 34.69 USD | 42.45 USD | 0.88 | -11.17 | 4.6M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 39.09 USD | 1.5% | 34.73 USD | 42.48 USD | 0.90 | -20.02 | 2.8M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 38.52 USD | 0.8% | 34.65 USD | 42.54 USD | 1.00 | -20.48 | 3.0M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 38.23 USD | -8.9% | 34.72 USD | 42.61 USD | 1.19 | -20.71 | 3.5M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 41.98 USD | 2.8% | 34.61 USD | 42.69 USD | 1.30 | -18.59 | 5.6M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 40.85 USD | 0.6% | 34.44 USD | 42.70 USD | 1.25 | -19.76 | 4.5M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 40.59 USD | 5.8% | 34.39 USD | 42.74 USD | 1.30 | -20.85 | 11.9M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 38.38 USD | 4.0% | 34.28 USD | 42.78 USD | 1.30 | -26.69 | 5.3M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 36.91 USD | 0.8% | 34.29 USD | 42.86 USD | 1.20 | - | 3.9M | Off |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 36.62 USD | -2.8% | 34.43 USD | 42.98 USD | 0.98 | - | 6.9M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.