NPH NZE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Napier Port Holdings Limited · Industrials · Marine Shipping

Latest close 3.60 NZD
-4.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 59.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.0%, after a -4.0% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 48 out of 100
Latest Close 3.60 NZD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -4.0% latest completed week
4W Return -4.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return -1.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 67.3% 35 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 58.41% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • 1 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 59.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.0%, after a -4.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.3x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7212-week average 0.61

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.72Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers11 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 1 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -4.0% over four weeks, -1.5% over 12 weeks, and 15.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-4.0%
4W-4.0%
12W-1.5%
26W-4.8%
52W15.4%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year35
Trend breadth67.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.31Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-9.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-0.27Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-105.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 11 relevant articles.

2 positive · 8 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-11.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+3.5%Week of 19 Jun.
Worst week-4.0%Week of 31 Jul.
Latest week-4.0%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains0
Modest gains13
Flat weeks2
Modest losses11
Sharp losses0
Recent vol2.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/18Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew1.9% / -2.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryNZ Marine Shipping
4-week rank2 / 3
Group average-3.1%
Trend breadth33.3%
Trend33.3%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS33.3%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20263.60 NZD-4.0%3.67 NZD2.75 NZD0.31-0.27133.2KOff
24 Jul 20263.75 NZD0.8%3.67 NZD2.75 NZD0.573.46378.6KOff
17 Jul 20263.72 NZD-0.8%3.67 NZD2.74 NZD0.453.44466.1KOff
10 Jul 20263.75 NZD0.0%3.67 NZD2.73 NZD0.463.7996.9KOff
3 Jul 20263.75 NZD1.4%3.66 NZD2.72 NZD0.345.23547.5KOff
26 Jun 20263.70 NZD-2.6%3.66 NZD2.71 NZD0.044.9622.6KOff
19 Jun 20263.80 NZD3.5%3.65 NZD2.70 NZD0.007.98140.7KOff
12 Jun 20263.67 NZD2.0%3.64 NZD2.69 NZD-0.345.38168.8KOff
5 Jun 20263.60 NZD-0.8%3.63 NZD2.68 NZD-0.365.34136.1KOff
29 May 20263.63 NZD2.2%3.62 NZD2.67 NZD-0.315.791.9MOff
22 May 20263.55 NZD-3.2%3.61 NZD2.66 NZD-0.475.81108.1KOff
15 May 20263.67 NZD0.3%3.60 NZD2.65 NZD-0.569.89480.8KOff
8 May 20263.66 NZD0.3%3.59 NZD2.64 NZD-0.798.40409.4KOff
1 May 20263.65 NZD3.4%3.58 NZD2.63 NZD-1.019.77237.0KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.