- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
RAIL
NASDAQ
Week ended 24 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Freightcar America Inc · Industrials · Railroads
Latest close
8.40 USD
11.7%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -12.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 14.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 11.7%, after a -17.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 49/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 2d.
Setup score
30
out of 100
Latest Close
8.40 USD
24 Jul 2026
1W Return
11.7%
latest completed week
4W Return
-17.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
1.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
46.2%
24 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.9x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
11.7%
Latest completed week; four-week move -17.6%.
Indicator stack
25/95
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Options pressure
Volatility
49/100 conviction; expected move 19.6%.
News sentiment
53/100
45 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
2d
Next report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -12.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 14.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 11.7%, after a -17.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1712-week average 0.11
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.17Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -17.6% over four weeks, 1.2% over 12 weeks, and -26.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year24
Trend breadth46.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.16Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change529.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-18.50Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-137.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 91%
Model confidence 87%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength57/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 44; rank 1 is best.
Value85/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
Quality23/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 78; rank 1 is best.
Momentum15/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 86; rank 1 is best.
Growth20/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework89/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 9.4x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.6x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 7.4x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 5.7% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 14.8% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 9.2% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 4.4% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 116.9% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -5.2% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -76.1% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 6/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 0.0% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 1.9x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningVolatility
RAIL shows volatility options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.49, expected move of 19.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction49/100
Expected move19.6%
Put/call volume1.49
Insider activity1 / 0
1 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment53/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 45 relevant articles.
10 positive · 29 neutral · 6 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings2dNext report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move19.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-43.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
30 Jan
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
24 Jul
Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+14.6%Week of 19 Jun.
Worst week-35.0%Week of 13 Mar.
Latest week+11.7%Week of 24 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains9
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses7
Recent vol8.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.5% / -6.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Industrials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-0.7%
Trend breadth52.0%
Trend52.0%active weekly trend signals
MD53.0%positive activity pressure
RS56.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Railroads
4-week rank11 / 11
Group average4.4%
Trend breadth72.7%
Trend72.7%active weekly trend signals
MD81.8%positive activity pressure
RS81.8%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape34/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 34/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis18/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.17; No reversal markers Factors44/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 57; Small Cap Core rank 28 SVQF89/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 82.5 of 726 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options60/100RAIL shows volatility options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.49, expected move of 19.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 19.6% Sentiment53/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 45 relevant articles.
RAIL|FreightCar America Inc|Price:7.950|Chg%:-0.060 Insiders1 / 01 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings2dNext report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 8.40 USD | 11.7% | 9.65 USD | 7.17 USD | 0.16 | -18.50 | 931.1K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 7.52 USD | -5.9% | 9.75 USD | 7.13 USD | 0.42 | -28.93 | 892.5K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 7.99 USD | -10.9% | 9.80 USD | 7.10 USD | 0.65 | -28.42 | 1.7M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 8.97 USD | -12.1% | 9.86 USD | 7.07 USD | 0.36 | -19.25 | 1.1M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 10.20 USD | 9.4% | 9.85 USD | 7.03 USD | -0.04 | -7.79 | 3.0M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 9.32 USD | 14.6% | 9.78 USD | 6.98 USD | -0.63 | -19.70 | 1.2M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 8.13 USD | 7.3% | 9.73 USD | 6.94 USD | -1.05 | -28.41 | 1.1M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 7.58 USD | -0.3% | 9.73 USD | 6.91 USD | -1.08 | -32.15 | 625.6K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 7.60 USD | -3.4% | 9.76 USD | 6.87 USD | -0.98 | -35.43 | 427.7K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 7.87 USD | -0.9% | 9.80 USD | 6.84 USD | -0.89 | -31.61 | 682.7K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 7.94 USD | -0.4% | 9.87 USD | 6.81 USD | -0.83 | -30.39 | 821.6K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 7.97 USD | -4.0% | 9.92 USD | 6.78 USD | -0.80 | -30.66 | 1.0M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 8.30 USD | -5.1% | 9.97 USD | 6.75 USD | -0.83 | -23.97 | 682.3K | Off |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 8.75 USD | -4.6% | 10.01 USD | 6.71 USD | -0.90 | -18.69 | 820.5K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.