- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 70.03% based on similar historical setup states.
SMCI
EBS
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Super Micro Computer, Inc. · Technology · Computer Hardware
Latest close
22.21 CHF
-10.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 30.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -10.4%, after a -0.9% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 54/100.
Setup score
42
out of 100
Latest Close
22.21 CHF
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
-10.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
-0.9%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-18.6%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
0.0%
0 of 30 weeks active
Volume Ratio
5.9x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-10.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move -0.9%.
Indicator stack
0/49
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 70.03%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
54/100
34 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 30.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -10.4%, after a -0.9% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 5.9x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.2212-week average 0.16
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.22Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -0.9% over four weeks, -18.6% over 12 weeks, and - over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.04Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment54/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 34 relevant articles.
9 positive · 24 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-34.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility16.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+28.6%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-27.8%Week of 12 Jun.
Latest week-10.4%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains10
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses8
Recent vol16.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol13.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split17/12Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew8.9% / -11.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorCH Technology
4-week rank8 / 19
Group average-5.8%
Trend breadth63.2%
Trend63.2%active weekly trend signals
MD42.1%positive activity pressure
RS31.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryCH Computer Hardware
4-week rank3 / 3
Group average4.2%
Trend breadth66.7%
Trend66.7%active weekly trend signals
MD66.7%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape40/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 40/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis8/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.22; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 70.03%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 70.03% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment54/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 34 relevant articles.
Is Super Micro Computer (SMCI) Undervalued After Its New NVIDIA AI Rack Launch? Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 22.21 CHF | -10.4% | 24.17 CHF | 24.17 CHF | -0.04 | - | 7.7K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 24.77 CHF | 27.7% | - | 24.24 CHF | -0.03 | - | 8.4K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 19.41 CHF | -16.2% | - | 24.22 CHF | - | - | 0 | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 23.16 CHF | 3.4% | - | 24.40 CHF | - | - | 0 | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 22.41 CHF | -11.4% | - | 24.44 CHF | - | - | 772 | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 25.29 CHF | 4.4% | - | 24.52 CHF | - | - | 0 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 24.22 CHF | -1.4% | - | 24.49 CHF | - | - | 0 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 24.57 CHF | -27.8% | - | 24.50 CHF | 0.00 | - | 0 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 34.04 CHF | 1.6% | - | 24.50 CHF | 0.00 | - | 0 | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 33.49 CHF | 22.0% | - | 24.05 CHF | 0.00 | - | 0 | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 27.44 CHF | 9.9% | - | 23.58 CHF | 0.00 | - | 0 | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 24.96 CHF | -8.5% | - | 23.37 CHF | 0.00 | - | 0 | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 27.28 CHF | 28.6% | - | 23.28 CHF | 0.00 | - | 0 | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 21.21 CHF | -5.4% | - | 23.05 CHF | 0.00 | - | 0 | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.