9648 SAU Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Hamad Mohammed Bin Saedan Real Estate Company · Real Estate · Real Estate - Development

Latest close 8.28 SAR
-3.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 28.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 45.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.4%, after a -1.7% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 47 out of 100
Latest Close 8.28 SAR 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -3.4% latest completed week
4W Return -1.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 53.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 6.5% 3 of 46 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 3-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 28.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 45.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.4%, after a -1.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3412-week average 0.14

12-week confirmation

Trend active3/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.34Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -1.7% over four weeks, 53.3% over 12 weeks, and - over one year. The current trend has remained active for 3 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-3.4%
4W-1.7%
12W53.3%
26W18.3%
52W-
Active trend streak3 weeks
Active weeks in one year3
Trend breadth6.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.44Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-7.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 20 relevant articles.

0 positive · 20 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-30.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility9.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+28.6%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-8.1%Week of 6 Feb.
Latest week-3.4%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains6
Flat weeks1
Modest losses8
Sharp losses5
Recent vol9.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split19/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.8% / -5.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20268.28 SAR-3.4%6.43 SAR7.11 SAR1.44-156.5KOn
24 Jul 20268.57 SAR6.7%6.43 SAR7.08 SAR1.51-92.7KOn
17 Jul 20268.03 SAR-2.3%6.39 SAR7.05 SAR1.52-173.9KOn
10 Jul 20268.22 SAR-2.4%6.39 SAR7.03 SAR1.54-72.1KOff
3 Jul 20268.42 SAR17.3%6.39 SAR7.00 SAR1.56-301.8KOff
26 Jun 20267.18 SAR4.1%6.38 SAR6.96 SAR1.34-42.8KOff
19 Jun 20266.90 SAR0.3%6.38 SAR6.96 SAR0.90-230.5KOff
12 Jun 20266.88 SAR28.6%6.40 SAR6.96 SAR0.44-182.4KOff
5 Jun 20265.35 SAR0.9%6.41 SAR6.96 SAR0.06-1.3MOff
29 May 20265.30 SAR0.0%6.49 SAR7.01 SAR-0.23-0Off
22 May 20265.30 SAR-2.0%6.58 SAR7.05 SAR-0.22-75.8KOff
15 May 20265.41 SAR0.2%6.66 SAR7.10 SAR-0.25-68.2KOff
8 May 20265.40 SAR-2.2%6.77 SAR7.15 SAR-0.38-21.9KOff
1 May 20265.52 SAR0.4%6.89 SAR7.21 SAR-0.41-83.4KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.