CSAN NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Cosan SA ADR · Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

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Latest close 3.22 USD
7.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -14.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 20.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 7.3%, after a 11.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 49/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 11d.

Setup score 22 out of 100
Latest Close 3.22 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 7.3% latest completed week
4W Return 11.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return -22.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 7.3% Latest completed week; four-week move 11.8%. Indicator stack 0/40 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 43.03% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 49/100 45 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 11d Next report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -14.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 20.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 7.3%, after a 11.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0412-week average 0.03

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.04Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 11.8% over four weeks, -22.8% over 12 weeks, and -22.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W7.3%
4W11.8%
12W-22.8%
26W-28.9%
52W-22.6%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.74Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change41.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-28.58Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change25.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 88% Model confidence 84%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength83/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
Value95/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
Quality69/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 32; rank 1 is best.
Momentum11/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
Growth18/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework75/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
6.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
25.4%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
33.6%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
17.9%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
48.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
10.6%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-8.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-4.2%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
77.3%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
77.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
4.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment49/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 45 relevant articles.

6 positive · 35 neutral · 4 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings11dNext report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-46.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher8 of 2618 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.4%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-18.0%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+7.3%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains1
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses7
Recent vol7.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/30Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.4% / -5.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape16/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 16/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis9/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.04; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 43.03%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 43.03% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors65/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 50; Small Cap Core rank 3 SVQF75/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 250.0 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment49/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 45 relevant articles.

Cosan (CSAN) Q3 2024 Earnings Report - Results, Call & Slides Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings11d

Next report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20263.22 USD7.3%3.77 USD7.70 USD-0.74-28.586.5MOff
24 Jul 20263.00 USD-1.6%3.79 USD7.78 USD-1.03-33.253.6MOff
17 Jul 20263.05 USD-3.2%3.83 USD7.87 USD-1.10-33.133.8MOff
10 Jul 20263.15 USD9.4%3.86 USD7.95 USD-1.22-32.575.3MOff
3 Jul 20262.88 USD-1.0%3.91 USD8.03 USD-1.27-38.144.9MOff
26 Jun 20262.91 USD9.4%3.98 USD8.11 USD-1.26-37.049.0MOff
19 Jun 20262.66 USD-0.4%4.04 USD8.18 USD-1.24-44.507.6MOff
12 Jun 20262.67 USD-4.3%4.11 USD8.25 USD-1.16-44.6715.2MOff
5 Jun 20262.79 USD-7.0%4.19 USD8.33 USD-1.12-42.9414.5MOff
29 May 20263.00 USD-10.7%4.25 USD8.40 USD-0.97-41.2115.3MOff
22 May 20263.36 USD-1.8%4.31 USD8.46 USD-0.81-34.3210.9MOff
15 May 20263.42 USD-18.0%4.34 USD8.52 USD-0.55-33.5913.7MOff
8 May 20264.17 USD3.5%4.37 USD8.57 USD-0.28-19.846.5MOff
1 May 20264.03 USD-1.2%4.37 USD8.63 USD-0.02-21.6310.0MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.