MEX Equity Snapshot

MCD Weekly Equity Report

McDonald's Corporation

Latest Close 4,960 MXN 12 Jun 2026
1W Return 1.6% latest completed week
4W Return 3.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return -10.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 3.8% 2 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.5x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

McDonald's Corporation owns, operates, and franchises restaurants under the McDonald's brand in the United States and internationally. It offers food and beverages, including hamburgers and cheeseburgers, various chicken sandwiches, fries, shakes, frozen desserts, sundaes, soft serve cones, cookies, pies, soft drinks, coffee, and other beverages; and full or limited breakfast, as well as sells various other products during limited-time promotions. The company owns and operates franchised restaurants under various structures, including conventional franchise, developmental license, or affiliate. McDonald's Corporation was founded in 1940 and is based in Chicago, Illinois.

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

MCD closed the latest completed week at 4,960 MXN. The 4-week return is 3.7% and the 12-week return is -10.8%. Trend Signal is inactive, Market Dynamics is -0.94. Setup signature: Risk-first tape with a 34/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Inactive
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend -8.4%
Volume 1.5x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 2 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 49 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 34 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 6 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 62 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 51 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
5,413 MXN
Vs Trend Line
-8.4%
Fair Value
5,363 MXN
Vs Fair Value
-7.5%
52W High
5,976 MXN
52W Low
4,679 MXN
Drawdown
-17.0%
Range Position
21.7%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W 1.6%
4W 3.7%
12W -10.8%
26W -11.6%
52W -13.2%

Trend read

Active Streak
0 weeks
52W Active Weeks
2
52W Active Breadth
3.8%
Sector Scope
MX Consumer Cyclical
Sector Rank
26 of 97
Sector Percentile
74.0%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
-0.94
4W MD Change
6.1%
Relative Strength
-15.50
4W RS Change
25.1%
Expectation
Negative
Probability
40.90%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
1.7K
13W Average
1.2K
52W Average
2.1K
Vs 13W
1.5x
Vs 52W
0.8x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
2.9%
52W Volatility
2.2%
Upside Weeks
22
Downside Weeks
30
Downside Breadth
57.7%
Avg Gain / Loss
1.7% / -1.7%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
MEX
Country
MX
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Restaurants
Currency
MXN
Market Cap
3374.9B

Opportunity signals

  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and Market Dynamics.

Risk signals

  • Trend Signal is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 4,960 MXN 1.6% 5,413 MXN 5,363 MXN -0.94 -15.50 1.7K Off
5 Jun 2026 4,880 MXN 0.0% 5,435 MXN 5,364 MXN -1.00 -15.08 1.7K Off
29 May 2026 4,879 MXN -0.2% 5,457 MXN 5,364 MXN -0.99 -18.69 1.9K Off
22 May 2026 4,888 MXN 2.2% 5,480 MXN 5,365 MXN -1.06 -18.85 2.4K Off
15 May 2026 4,785 MXN 1.1% 5,504 MXN 5,366 MXN -1.00 -20.70 1.6K Off
8 May 2026 4,731 MXN -7.7% 5,533 MXN 5,369 MXN -0.82 -24.29 2.2K Off
1 May 2026 5,126 MXN -2.0% 5,561 MXN 5,372 MXN -0.75 -16.30 252 Off
24 Apr 2026 5,232 MXN -3.3% 5,574 MXN 5,373 MXN -0.41 -16.92 1.3K Off
17 Apr 2026 5,408 MXN 1.5% 5,584 MXN 5,374 MXN -0.28 -15.46 1.1K Off
10 Apr 2026 5,325 MXN -5.0% 5,587 MXN 5,374 MXN -0.16 -17.72 459 Off
3 Apr 2026 5,609 MXN 1.5% 5,601 MXN 5,373 MXN 0.28 -13.77 13 On
27 Mar 2026 5,525 MXN -0.7% 5,610 MXN 5,371 MXN 0.49 -11.93 110 On
20 Mar 2026 5,562 MXN -3.7% 5,619 MXN 5,367 MXN 0.86 -8.47 526 Off
13 Mar 2026 5,775 MXN -0.2% 5,629 MXN 5,364 MXN 0.95 -7.71 2.0K Off