CAVA NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

CAVA Group, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants

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Latest close 62.01 USD
-9.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -19.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 33.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -9.9%, after a -25.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 36/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 13d.

Setup score 25 out of 100
Latest Close 62.01 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -9.9% latest completed week
4W Return -25.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return -31.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 36.5% 19 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -9.9% Latest completed week; four-week move -25.6%. Indicator stack 20/19 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Mixed 36/100 conviction; expected move 6.9%. News sentiment 53/100 22 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 13d Next report is scheduled for 11 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -19.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 33.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -9.9%, after a -25.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3612-week average 0.65

12-week confirmation

Trend active10/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership3/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.36Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -25.6% over four weeks, -31.8% over 12 weeks, and -29.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-9.9%
4W-25.6%
12W-31.8%
26W-6.5%
52W-29.6%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year19
Trend breadth36.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.99Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-169.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-18.54Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-358.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 91%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength2/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 99; rank 1 is best.
Value2/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 99; rank 1 is best.
Quality31/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
Momentum16/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
Growth25/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
113.3x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
6.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
51.4x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
4.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
18.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
6.0%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
29.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
6.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-0.1%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.4x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

CAVA shows mixed options pressure with a 36/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.96, expected move of 6.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction36/100
Expected move6.9%
Put/call volume0.96
Pressure3
Speculation41
Volatility82
Trend agreement66
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 22 relevant articles.

8 positive · 10 neutral · 4 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings13dNext report is scheduled for 11 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move6.9%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-37.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility9.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+25.3%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-12.7%Week of 8 May.
Latest week-9.9%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains2
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses12
Recent vol9.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/30Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.0% / -5.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape28/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 28/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis48/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 10/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 3/12.

Activity pressure 0.36; No reversal markers Factors12/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 71; Small Cap Core rank 99 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options50/100

CAVA shows mixed options pressure with a 36/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.96, expected move of 6.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 6.9% Sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 22 relevant articles.

Nasdaq, S&P 500 Futures Rise Ahead Of Nvidia Earnings, Fed Minutes: Why TSLA, SLS, IBRX, CAVA, POET, BA Are In Focus Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings13d

Next report is scheduled for 11 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202662.01 USD-9.9%77.11 USD78.02 USD-0.99-18.5420.3MOff
17 Jul 202668.85 USD-4.6%77.05 USD77.97 USD-0.82-11.0115.7MOff
10 Jul 202672.18 USD-6.1%76.65 USD77.84 USD-0.59-8.9615.7MOn
3 Jul 202676.88 USD-7.8%76.01 USD77.68 USD-0.33-2.6610.5MOn
26 Jun 202683.40 USD-6.5%75.23 USD77.44 USD-0.377.1714.7MOn
19 Jun 202689.18 USD-2.0%74.08 USD77.17 USD-0.3911.5913.5MOn
12 Jun 202690.99 USD25.3%72.74 USD76.85 USD-0.2914.7616.2MOn
5 Jun 202672.60 USD-6.5%71.28 USD76.52 USD-0.32-7.9712.9MOn
29 May 202677.66 USD-3.4%70.48 USD76.54 USD0.10-4.6211.4MOn
22 May 202680.42 USD4.6%69.68 USD76.53 USD0.57-0.4528.6MOn
15 May 202676.87 USD-3.2%69.12 USD76.51 USD0.89-4.6514.7MOn
8 May 202679.40 USD-12.7%68.65 USD76.51 USD1.27-2.3514.3MOn
1 May 202690.98 USD-4.9%68.08 USD76.49 USD1.4313.3211.7MOn
24 Apr 202695.68 USD0.9%67.16 USD76.39 USD1.3719.3414.3MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.