ITW NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Illinois Tool Works Inc · Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Open interactive chart View report data
Latest close 283.0 USD
2.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 6.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 72.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.5%, after a 6.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 29/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 58/100.

Setup score 58 out of 100
Latest Close 283.0 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 2.5% latest completed week
4W Return 6.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return 11.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 48.1% 25 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • 1 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 2.5% Latest completed week; four-week move 6.3%. Indicator stack 26/89 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bullish 29/100 conviction; expected move 4.8%. News sentiment 58/100 51 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 29 Jul Latest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 6.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 72.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.5%, after a 6.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4012-week average 0.32

12-week confirmation

Trend active1/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.40Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers11 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 1 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 6.3% over four weeks, 11.4% over 12 weeks, and 10.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W2.5%
4W6.3%
12W11.4%
26W10.3%
52W10.2%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year25
Trend breadth48.1%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.59Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change350.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership1.00Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change122.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 93%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength20/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Value11/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
Quality88/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 13; rank 1 is best.
Momentum33/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 68; rank 1 is best.
Growth14/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 87; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework56/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
26.0x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
5.0x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
19.3x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
4.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
44.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
26.7%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
22.0%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
29.1%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
2.9%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-7.0%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-3.9%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.3%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
1.8%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
4.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.8x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

ITW shows bullish options pressure with a 29/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.54, expected move of 4.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction29/100
Expected move4.8%
Put/call volume0.54
Pressure37
Speculation12
Volatility34
Trend agreement29
Open options detail
Insider activity12 / 1

12 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 51 relevant articles.

21 positive · 27 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings29 JulLatest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
Options expected move4.8%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-6.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+12.4%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-5.7%Week of 1 May.
Latest week+2.5%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains2
Modest gains13
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses2
Recent vol2.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.1% / -2.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape54/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 54/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis24/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 1/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 1/12.

Activity pressure 0.40; 1 reversal markers Factors37/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 25 SVQF56/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 446.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options44/100

ITW shows bullish options pressure with a 29/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.54, expected move of 4.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 4.8% Sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 51 relevant articles.

Edgestream Partners L.P. Lowers Stock Position in Illinois Tool Works Inc. $ITW Insiders12 / 1

12 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings29 Jul

Latest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026283.0 USD2.5%265.4 USD246.2 USD0.591.007.7MOff
17 Jul 2026276.1 USD2.7%264.3 USD246.0 USD0.46-2.186.9MOff
10 Jul 2026268.8 USD-1.4%263.3 USD245.7 USD0.34-6.375.6MOff
3 Jul 2026272.8 USD2.5%262.8 USD245.5 USD0.12-3.975.9MOff
26 Jun 2026266.1 USD1.4%262.0 USD245.2 USD-0.23-4.497.9MOff
19 Jun 2026262.5 USD2.6%261.3 USD245.0 USD-0.63-8.177.6MOff
12 Jun 2026255.9 USD1.9%260.7 USD244.8 USD-0.87-9.876.1MOff
5 Jun 2026251.2 USD2.2%260.2 USD244.6 USD-1.00-11.266.2MOff
29 May 2026245.8 USD-2.0%259.9 USD244.4 USD-0.95-15.636.7MOff
22 May 2026250.7 USD1.8%259.8 USD244.2 USD-0.79-13.077.4MOff
15 May 2026246.2 USD-2.8%259.5 USD244.0 USD-0.71-14.205.7MOff
8 May 2026253.3 USD-0.3%259.5 USD243.7 USD-0.49-11.935.8MOn
1 May 2026254.0 USD-5.7%259.1 USD243.5 USD-0.36-9.969.3MOn
24 Apr 2026269.3 USD-1.1%259.2 USD243.2 USD-0.41-3.965.5MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.