ARCC NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Ares Capital Corporation · Financial Services · Asset Management

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Latest close 18.76 USD
-0.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 1.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 48.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.1%, after a 0.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 35/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 0d.

Setup score 48 out of 100
Latest Close 18.76 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -0.1% latest completed week
4W Return 0.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return 1.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 15.4% 8 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.57% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -0.1% Latest completed week; four-week move 0.2%. Indicator stack 8/72 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 56.57% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bullish 35/100 conviction; expected move 3.3%. News sentiment 52/100 62 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 0d Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 1.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 48.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.1%, after a 0.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3812-week average 0.20

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.38Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 0.2% over four weeks, 1.2% over 12 weeks, and -7.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.1%
4W0.2%
12W1.2%
26W-0.6%
52W-7.6%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year8
Trend breadth15.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.84Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change88.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-8.86Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change38.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 02 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength12/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
Value31/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
Quality27/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 74; rank 1 is best.
Momentum27/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 74; rank 1 is best.
Growth16/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
14.0x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
6.3x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
22.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
3.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
64.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
55.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
50.0%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
3.7%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-3.6%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-29.0%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-16.7%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
2/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
10.2%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-1.7%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
8.6%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
12.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

ARCC shows bullish options pressure with a 35/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.36, expected move of 3.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction35/100
Expected move3.3%
Put/call volume0.36
Pressure43
Speculation41
Volatility26
Trend agreement22
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 62 relevant articles.

13 positive · 41 neutral · 8 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings0dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move3.3%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-9.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.5%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-4.0%Week of 19 Jun.
Latest week-0.1%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains1
Modest gains11
Flat weeks1
Modest losses13
Sharp losses0
Recent vol2.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew1.8% / -1.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape45/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 45/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis36/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.38; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 56.57%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.57% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors23/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 78; Small Cap Core rank 40 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options45/100

ARCC shows bullish options pressure with a 35/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.36, expected move of 3.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 3.3% Sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 62 relevant articles.

Ares Capital (NASDAQ:ARCC) Stock Offers 10% Yield as Dividend Cushion Narrows Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings0d

Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow1 items

0 recent research articles and 1 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202618.76 USD-0.1%18.41 USD17.92 USD0.84-8.8624.6MOff
24 Jul 202618.78 USD-2.0%18.43 USD17.89 USD0.80-8.8218.7MOff
17 Jul 202619.17 USD2.1%18.45 USD17.86 USD0.76-8.9724.3MOff
10 Jul 202618.78 USD0.3%18.44 USD17.84 USD0.46-15.0822.8MOff
3 Jul 202618.73 USD3.0%18.46 USD17.81 USD0.44-14.4024.9MOff
26 Jun 202618.19 USD0.9%18.48 USD17.78 USD0.39-16.6926.6MOff
19 Jun 202618.03 USD-4.0%18.51 USD17.75 USD0.42-21.6624.2MOff
12 Jun 202618.78 USD2.5%18.52 USD17.73 USD0.43-16.9023.4MOff
5 Jun 202618.32 USD-1.1%18.52 USD17.70 USD0.40-17.6227.0MOff
29 May 202618.51 USD2.2%18.54 USD17.67 USD0.37-21.0419.6MOff
22 May 202618.12 USD-1.6%18.55 USD17.64 USD0.36-21.0723.5MOff
15 May 202618.43 USD-0.6%18.57 USD17.61 USD0.22-19.3926.3MOff
8 May 202618.53 USD-1.2%18.56 USD17.58 USD0.06-19.7325.2MOff
1 May 202618.77 USD3.1%18.52 USD17.55 USD-0.23-14.8735.4MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.