- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
INGR
NYSE
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Ingredion Incorporated · Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods
Latest close
99.46 USD
-1.6%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 17.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.6%, after a 1.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bearish with 56/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 3d.
Setup score
30
out of 100
Latest Close
99.46 USD
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
-1.6%
latest completed week
4W Return
1.9%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-6.6%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
3.8%
2 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.7x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-1.6%
Latest completed week; four-week move 1.9%.
Indicator stack
2/42
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Options pressure
Bearish
56/100 conviction; expected move 6.7%.
News sentiment
50/100
53 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
3d
Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 17.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.6%, after a 1.9% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0612-week average 0.15
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.06Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 1.9% over four weeks, -6.6% over 12 weeks, and -19.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year2
Trend breadth3.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.58Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change34.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-18.26Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change17.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 100%
Model confidence 96%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength86/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 15; rank 1 is best.
Value94/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Quality81/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 20; rank 1 is best.
Momentum14/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 87; rank 1 is best.
Growth26/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 75; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework88/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 9.5x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.9x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 6.3x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 19.7% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 24.5% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 13.1% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 20.0% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 13.3% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -2.2% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 7.3% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -11.8% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 8/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 3.2% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 2.9% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 6.1% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.8x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningBearish
INGR shows bearish options pressure with a 56/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.96, expected move of 6.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction56/100
Expected move6.7%
Put/call volume1.96
Insider activity20 / 0
20 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 53 relevant articles.
5 positive · 43 neutral · 5 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings3dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move6.7%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-22.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+3.9%Week of 17 Jul.
Worst week-4.4%Week of 15 May.
Latest week-1.6%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains0
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses15
Sharp losses1
Recent vol2.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split21/31Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew1.6% / -1.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Consumer Defensive
4-week rank37 / 100
Group average0.4%
Trend breadth48.0%
Trend48.0%active weekly trend signals
MD56.0%positive activity pressure
RS34.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Packaged Foods
4-week rank18 / 58
Group average-2.9%
Trend breadth32.8%
Trend32.8%active weekly trend signals
MD51.7%positive activity pressure
RS22.4%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape26/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 26/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis9/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.06; No reversal markers Factors70/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Cornerstone Growth rank 88; Buyback Yield rank 18; Small Cap Core rank 7 SVQF88/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 124.0 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options50/100INGR shows bearish options pressure with a 56/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.96, expected move of 6.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Bearish · Put-side pressure · Expected move 6.7% Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 53 relevant articles.
Ingredion (INGR) Eyes A Specialty Shift, Is The Stock Already Fully Valued? Insiders20 / 020 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings3dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 99.46 USD | -1.6% | 108.1 USD | 115.0 USD | -0.58 | -18.26 | 3.1M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 101.1 USD | -1.4% | 108.4 USD | 115.0 USD | -0.77 | -16.65 | 3.0M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 102.6 USD | 3.9% | 108.7 USD | 115.0 USD | -0.89 | -16.64 | 3.0M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 98.75 USD | 1.2% | 108.9 USD | 115.0 USD | -0.93 | -21.63 | 4.0M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 97.62 USD | 1.0% | 109.3 USD | 115.0 USD | -0.89 | -22.23 | 3.4M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 96.67 USD | -0.4% | 109.6 USD | 115.0 USD | -0.88 | -22.08 | 4.8M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 97.10 USD | -3.6% | 109.9 USD | 115.0 USD | -0.94 | -24.33 | 8.9M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 100.7 USD | 1.6% | 110.2 USD | 115.0 USD | -0.99 | -21.62 | 4.8M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 99.13 USD | -1.4% | 110.4 USD | 115.0 USD | -0.97 | -23.21 | 3.3M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 100.6 USD | -0.9% | 110.7 USD | 115.0 USD | -0.78 | -24.80 | 3.0M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 101.5 USD | -0.2% | 111.1 USD | 115.0 USD | -0.67 | -23.80 | 3.9M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 101.7 USD | -4.4% | 111.6 USD | 115.0 USD | -0.50 | -23.77 | 4.9M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 106.5 USD | -2.8% | 112.2 USD | 115.0 USD | -0.32 | -20.86 | 6.3M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 109.5 USD | -2.8% | 112.6 USD | 115.0 USD | -0.21 | -17.53 | 2.4M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.