RKFORGE NSI Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Ramkrishna Forgings Limited · Industrials · Metal Fabrication

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Latest close 651.2 INR
12.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 17.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 98.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 12.1%, after a 12.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 49/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.

Setup score 78 out of 100
Latest Close 651.2 INR 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 12.1% latest completed week
4W Return 12.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return 6.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 26.9% 14 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 4.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 14-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 12.1% Latest completed week; four-week move 12.8%. Indicator stack 60/67 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Buy Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 58.31% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 49/100 32 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 17.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 98.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 12.1%, after a 12.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 4.1x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6512-week average 0.59

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.65Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 12.8% over four weeks, 6.7% over 12 weeks, and 15.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 14 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W12.1%
4W12.8%
12W6.7%
26W27.6%
52W15.3%
Active trend streak14 weeks
Active weeks in one year14
Trend breadth26.9%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.96Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-2.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership19.93Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change200.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 88% Model confidence 88%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength11/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
Value28/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 73; rank 1 is best.
Quality24/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 77; rank 1 is best.
Momentum37/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 64; rank 1 is best.
Growth59/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 42; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework19/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
99.0x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
18.3x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-0.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
44.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
8.1%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-1.9%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
4.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.2%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-1.8%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-1.6%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
3.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment49/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 32 relevant articles.

4 positive · 25 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalFresh

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Fresh buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-0.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+12.1%Week of 31 Jul.
Worst week-10.7%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week+12.1%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses3
Recent vol4.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.4% / -3.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape76/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 76/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis85/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.65; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 58.31%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 58.31% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors23/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 85; Small Cap Core rank 75 SVQF19/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 1294.5 of 1590 Patient CapitalFresh

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Fresh buy signal Sentiment49/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 32 relevant articles.

Ramkrishna Forgings expects exports to recover on stronger global orders Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026651.2 INR12.1%554.0 INR694.5 INR0.9619.9320.3MOn
24 Jul 2026580.7 INR2.2%550.0 INR693.9 INR0.7310.088.9MOn
17 Jul 2026568.2 INR0.5%547.7 INR693.6 INR0.805.1518.2MOn
10 Jul 2026565.3 INR-2.1%544.6 INR693.2 INR0.904.942.0MOn
3 Jul 2026577.3 INR2.4%543.0 INR692.5 INR0.986.62914.4KOn
26 Jun 2026563.7 INR-4.2%541.4 INR691.7 INR0.774.830On
19 Jun 2026588.7 INR-0.6%540.9 INR690.9 INR0.709.43210.4KOn
12 Jun 2026592.2 INR6.8%539.1 INR689.8 INR0.5311.86776.7KOn
5 Jun 2026554.6 INR-2.1%537.8 INR688.7 INR0.555.80144.8KOn
29 May 2026566.4 INR2.0%537.0 INR687.7 INR1.046.991.5MOn
22 May 2026555.0 INR-3.3%536.2 INR686.4 INR1.384.052.0MOn
15 May 2026574.0 INR-5.9%535.7 INR685.2 INR1.647.833.0MOn
8 May 2026610.2 INR2.2%534.4 INR683.9 INR1.5612.076.7MOn
1 May 2026597.3 INR9.5%532.4 INR682.2 INR1.1310.688.5MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.