VISTAA MEX Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. · Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Latest close 1,221 MXN
0.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive trend

The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 75.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.3%, after a 11.0% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100.

Setup score 74 out of 100
Latest Close 1,221 MXN 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.3% latest completed week
4W Return 11.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return 9.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 57.7% 30 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 4.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 30-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 75.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.3%, after a 11.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 4.1x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6812-week average 0.84

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.68Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 11.0% over four weeks, 9.1% over 12 weeks, and 48.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 30 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.3%
4W11.0%
12W9.1%
26W15.5%
52W48.9%
Active trend streak30 weeks
Active weeks in one year30
Trend breadth57.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.36Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change56.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership21.36Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change98.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 35 relevant articles.

8 positive · 26 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-14.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.2%Week of 6 Mar.
Worst week-13.9%Week of 8 May.
Latest week+0.3%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains10
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses8
Recent vol6.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.0% / -4.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20261,221 MXN0.3%1,137 MXN864.6 MXN-0.3621.36281.0KOn
24 Jul 20261,218 MXN8.7%1,126 MXN859.5 MXN-0.5922.6451.6KOn
17 Jul 20261,120 MXN0.1%1,114 MXN854.4 MXN-0.7412.98225.4KOn
10 Jul 20261,118 MXN1.7%1,104 MXN850.0 MXN-0.8313.35266.5KOn
3 Jul 20261,100 MXN-3.4%1,097 MXN845.5 MXN-0.8110.7614.8KOn
26 Jun 20261,139 MXN-4.2%1,092 MXN841.1 MXN-0.5414.5444On
19 Jun 20261,189 MXN-4.4%1,083 MXN836.5 MXN-0.2818.890On
12 Jun 20261,243 MXN-5.2%1,073 MXN831.5 MXN0.0523.8328On
5 Jun 20261,311 MXN1.8%1,063 MXN826.1 MXN0.2334.3513.2KOn
29 May 20261,288 MXN-2.0%1,048 MXN820.3 MXN0.1427.777.1KOn
22 May 20261,314 MXN5.9%1,035 MXN814.5 MXN0.3931.2217.5KOn
15 May 20261,241 MXN10.9%1,016 MXN808.5 MXN0.4825.022.9KOn
8 May 20261,119 MXN-13.9%996.4 MXN802.9 MXN0.589.992.3KOn
1 May 20261,300 MXN5.6%982.1 MXN798.0 MXN0.8431.45104.0KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.