APLD NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Applied Digital Corporation · Technology · Information Technology Services

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Latest close 27.39 USD
0.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -19.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 39.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.7%, after a -17.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 38/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 51/100.

Setup score 31 out of 100
Latest Close 27.39 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.7% latest completed week
4W Return -17.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return -33.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 78.8% 41 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 59.54% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 0.7% Latest completed week; four-week move -17.2%. Indicator stack 43/15 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 59.54% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bullish 38/100 conviction; expected move 1.7%. News sentiment 51/100 63 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 29 Jul Latest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -19.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 39.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.7%, after a -17.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6312-week average 0.68

12-week confirmation

Trend active9/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership8/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.63Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -17.2% over four weeks, -33.6% over 12 weeks, and 118.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.7%
4W-17.2%
12W-33.6%
26W-19.2%
52W118.8%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year41
Trend breadth78.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.79Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-264.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-15.05Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-739.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 28 Feb 2026 Field coverage 85% Model confidence 77%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength34/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 67; rank 1 is best.
Value29/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 72; rank 1 is best.
Quality13/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
Momentum98/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
Growth89/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 12; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
21.9x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
18.3%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
27.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-36.9%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
489.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-3.7%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
84.9%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
355.5%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
3/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.1%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-13.3%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-13.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-11.7x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

APLD shows bullish options pressure with a 38/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.33, expected move of 1.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction38/100
Expected move1.7%
Put/call volume0.33
Pressure58
Speculation43
Volatility40
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity8 / 12

8 acquisitions and 12 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 63 relevant articles.

18 positive · 32 neutral · 13 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings29 JulLatest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
Options expected move1.7%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-46.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility12.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+23.0%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-17.7%Week of 20 Feb.
Latest week+0.7%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses0
Sharp losses11
Recent vol12.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol13.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew11.7% / -9.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape36/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 36/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis63/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 9/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 8/12.

Activity pressure 0.63; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 59.54%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 59.54% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors40/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 88; Small Cap Core rank 89 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options40/100

APLD shows bullish options pressure with a 38/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.33, expected move of 1.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 1.7% Sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 63 relevant articles.

Applied Digital (APLD) 13.77M-share position disclosed by Vanguard Portfolio Management Insiders8 / 12

8 acquisitions and 12 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings29 Jul

Latest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.

 Research flow4 items

1 recent research articles and 3 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202627.39 USD0.7%33.85 USD14.24 USD-0.79-15.05144.3MOff
24 Jul 202627.19 USD5.4%33.88 USD14.12 USD-0.71-14.6095.4MOff
17 Jul 202625.79 USD-17.2%33.77 USD14.01 USD-0.34-19.6194.8MOff
10 Jul 202631.15 USD-5.8%33.84 USD13.89 USD0.08-6.3276.5MOn
3 Jul 202633.06 USD-15.6%33.73 USD13.74 USD0.482.3581.3MOn
26 Jun 202639.16 USD-15.9%33.67 USD13.58 USD0.7123.73110.1MOn
19 Jun 202646.59 USD9.1%33.27 USD13.39 USD0.9042.8181.2MOn
12 Jun 202642.70 USD7.8%32.42 USD13.14 USD1.0536.97120.8MOn
5 Jun 202639.62 USD-16.2%31.78 USD12.92 USD1.0532.2687.4MOn
29 May 202647.28 USD3.1%31.49 USD12.72 USD1.1752.7990.7MOn
22 May 202645.87 USD7.8%31.07 USD12.48 USD0.7856.17126.0MOn
15 May 202642.56 USD3.2%30.66 USD12.24 USD0.4450.1497.0MOn
8 May 202641.25 USD23.0%30.38 USD12.02 USD-0.0248.40134.3MOn
1 May 202633.55 USD-4.1%30.14 USD11.77 USD-0.5330.3498.9MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.