AWR NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

American States Water Company · Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Water

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Latest close 86.41 USD
-3.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 83.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.2%, after a 4.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bearish with 52/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 6d.

Setup score 64 out of 100
Latest Close 86.41 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -3.2% latest completed week
4W Return 4.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 15.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 40.4% 21 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 21-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -3.2% Latest completed week; four-week move 4.7%. Indicator stack 67/80 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bearish 52/100 conviction; expected move 6.6%. News sentiment 54/100 51 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 6d Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 83.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.2%, after a 4.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8012-week average 0.74

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership5/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.80Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 4.7% over four weeks, 15.7% over 12 weeks, and 21.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 21 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-3.2%
4W4.7%
12W15.7%
26W19.7%
52W21.7%
Active trend streak21 weeks
Active weeks in one year21
Trend breadth40.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.41Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change60.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership6.79Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change107.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength54/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 47; rank 1 is best.
Value24/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 77; rank 1 is best.
Quality84/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 17; rank 1 is best.
Momentum71/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 30; rank 1 is best.
Growth67/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 34; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework31/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
25.4x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
5.0x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
16.7x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
11.1%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
57.5%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
30.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
69.9%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
8.1%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
11.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
8.6%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
5.5%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.3%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-2.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
3.5x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBearish

AWR shows bearish options pressure with a 52/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 4.70, expected move of 6.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction52/100
Expected move6.6%
Put/call volume4.70
Pressure-69
Speculation42
Volatility43
Trend agreement37
Open options detail
Insider activity10 / 2

10 acquisitions and 2 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 51 relevant articles.

13 positive · 36 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings6dNext report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move6.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-4.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.1%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-5.3%Week of 1 May.
Latest week-3.2%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains11
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses3
Recent vol3.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.5% / -2.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape64/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 64/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis69/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 5/12.

Activity pressure 0.80; 4 reversal markers Factors58/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 79; Small Cap Core rank 85 SVQF31/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 704.0 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options35/100

AWR shows bearish options pressure with a 52/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 4.70, expected move of 6.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bearish · Put-side pressure · Expected move 6.6% Sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 51 relevant articles.

Dean Capital Management Invests $3.53 Million in American States Water Company $AWR Insiders10 / 2

10 acquisitions and 2 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings6d

Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202686.41 USD-3.2%76.67 USD74.72 USD1.416.791.3MOn
17 Jul 202689.28 USD5.6%76.19 USD74.69 USD1.509.771.6MOn
10 Jul 202684.51 USD-0.3%75.62 USD74.66 USD1.172.331.6MOn
3 Jul 202684.76 USD2.7%75.24 USD74.63 USD1.053.901.5MOn
26 Jun 202682.57 USD7.1%74.82 USD74.59 USD0.883.272.6MOn
19 Jun 202677.11 USD-0.8%74.49 USD74.58 USD0.65-6.001.3MOn
12 Jun 202677.77 USD-0.8%74.33 USD74.59 USD0.73-4.742.3MOn
5 Jun 202678.37 USD1.4%74.19 USD74.61 USD0.66-3.871.2MOn
29 May 202677.27 USD0.8%74.03 USD74.65 USD0.68-7.901.4MOn
22 May 202676.64 USD1.9%73.78 USD74.70 USD0.64-7.801.3MOn
15 May 202675.22 USD-1.9%73.71 USD74.75 USD0.92-9.201.4MOn
8 May 202676.69 USD2.6%73.67 USD74.79 USD1.11-7.691.4MOn
1 May 202674.71 USD-5.3%73.55 USD74.84 USD1.23-8.501.5MOn
24 Apr 202678.89 USD4.6%73.37 USD74.90 USD1.37-3.052.9MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.