NYSE Equity Snapshot

GEO Weekly Equity Report

Geo Group Inc

Interactive chart JSON snapshot
Latest Close 28.44 USD 12 Jun 2026
1W Return 12.4% latest completed week
4W Return 24.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 73.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 13.5% 7 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

GEO closed the latest completed week at 28.44 USD. The 4-week return is 24.1% and the 12-week return is 73.1%. Trend Signal is active, Market Dynamics is 1.69. Setup signature: Leadership continuation with a 73/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Active
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend 58.1%
Volume 1.3x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 32 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 100 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 82 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 100 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 55 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 71 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 2 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
17.99 USD
Vs Trend Line
58.1%
Fair Value
17.51 USD
Vs Fair Value
62.4%
52W High
28.89 USD
52W Low
12.51 USD
Drawdown
-1.6%
Range Position
97.3%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W 12.4%
4W 24.1%
12W 73.1%
26W 69.0%
52W 15.5%

Trend read

Active Streak
7 weeks
52W Active Weeks
7
52W Active Breadth
13.5%
Sector Scope
US Industrials
Sector Rank
46 of 664
Sector Percentile
93.2%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
1.69
4W MD Change
15.1%
Relative Strength
32.87
4W RS Change
678.2%
Expectation
Positive
Probability
60.33%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
12.6M
13W Average
9.5M
52W Average
11.4M
Vs 13W
1.3x
Vs 52W
1.1x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
6.4%
52W Volatility
6.9%
Upside Weeks
26
Downside Weeks
26
Downside Breadth
50.0%
Avg Gain / Loss
5.9% / -4.9%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
NYSE
Country
US
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Security & Protection Services
Currency
USD
Market Cap
3.0B

Opportunity signals

  • Trend Signal is active with a 7-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Market Dynamics is positive on the latest completed week.

Risk signals

  • No major top-level risk cluster is currently dominant.

Watch next

  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 28.44 USD 12.4% 17.99 USD 17.51 USD 1.69 32.87 12.6M On
5 Jun 2026 25.31 USD 11.6% 17.55 USD 17.38 USD 1.60 18.65 7.5M On
29 May 2026 22.67 USD -3.6% 17.21 USD 17.26 USD 1.68 2.85 6.8M On
22 May 2026 23.52 USD 2.6% 17.02 USD 17.16 USD 1.57 7.08 7.0M On
15 May 2026 22.92 USD 5.3% 16.81 USD 17.06 USD 1.46 4.22 8.7M On
8 May 2026 21.76 USD 16.1% 16.62 USD 16.97 USD 1.34 -1.73 15.2M On
1 May 2026 18.75 USD -0.4% 16.48 USD 16.88 USD 1.12 -14.19 6.4M On
24 Apr 2026 18.83 USD 1.2% 16.53 USD 16.81 USD 1.17 -14.66 8.0M Off
17 Apr 2026 18.60 USD 6.1% 16.60 USD 16.74 USD 1.10 -16.80 8.2M Off
10 Apr 2026 17.53 USD -4.8% 16.71 USD 16.67 USD 1.02 -19.56 7.3M Off
2 Apr 2026 18.42 USD 10.2% 16.86 USD 16.61 USD 0.74 -13.93 7.4M Off
27 Mar 2026 16.71 USD 1.7% 16.93 USD 16.55 USD 0.51 -20.46 11.5M Off
20 Mar 2026 16.43 USD 12.9% 17.07 USD 16.49 USD 0.42 -24.72 17.4M Off
13 Mar 2026 14.55 USD 1.4% 17.23 USD 16.43 USD 0.24 -35.47 12.1M Off