Sharemaestro company-news research for Geo Group Inc (GEO), showing current tone, evidence confidence, direct company coverage, sector and industry context, completed price response and the source headlines used on the page. Scores describe published news evidence. Confidence describes the amount, freshness, source breadth and direct company relevance of that evidence. Price context is shown separately.

NYSE United States Measured evidence

Company news sentiment

GEO news sentiment

Geo Group Inc

Company headlines compared by relevance, subject, source independence, tone and the market's completed price response.

Weighted tone74Neutral is 50
Constructive news tone 78/100 evidence confidence 100% direct company focus 9 current stories across 1 publishers
Latest weekly closeUSD 30.69week of 7 Aug 2026
Dominant catalystEarnings85/100 classification confidence
News data statusHealthy0 duplicate stories removed

Current company news

Balanced read

Constructive news tone is drawn from 9 fresh independent stories, including 9 company-specific items across 1 publishers.

Latest source headline Earnings Estimates Rising for Geo Group (GEO): Will It Gain? finance.yahoo.com · 12 Aug 2026 16:20

What supports the read

Direct evidence

9 current stories are mapped specifically to GEO.

Narrative agreement

Cross-story agreement is 91/100, indicating a comparatively coherent tape.

What tempers the read

Source breadth

Only 1 publisher currently contribute to the measured read.

74/100
Weighted toneConstructive news tone
78/100
Evidence confidencesolid confidence
100%/100
Company focus9 direct stories
91/100
Evidence agreement9/100 dispersion

News history

Tone and story flow over 21 days

Daily weighted evidence
08 Aug: 1 stories09 Aug: 1 stories10 Aug: 3 stories11 Aug: 2 stories12 Aug: 2 stories 08 Aug: tone 83, 1 stories09 Aug: tone 86, 1 stories10 Aug: tone 74, 3 stories11 Aug: tone 84, 2 stories12 Aug: tone 87, 2 stories 95505
24 Jul03 Aug13 Aug
Weighted toneStory volumeNeutral 50

Evidence confidence

What supports the score

Measured separately from tone

Confidence rises through sample depth, independent publishers, direct company relevance, freshness and agreement. A high or low tone score is not itself evidence of reliability.

Sample depth100
8.06 effective stories
Source breadth20
1 independent publishers
Direct relevance100
company-specific evidence share
Freshness74
recency-weighted evidence
Agreement91
cross-story consistency
Source independence0
lower publisher concentration

Price context

Sentiment against the 26-week price path

Balanced read

News tone and price action are not far from neutral.

13 Feb 2026: close 14.21, indexed 100.020 Feb 2026: close 13.26, indexed 93.327 Feb 2026: close 15.04, indexed 105.806 Mar 2026: close 14.35, indexed 101.013 Mar 2026: close 14.55, indexed 102.420 Mar 2026: close 16.43, indexed 115.627 Mar 2026: close 16.71, indexed 117.603 Apr 2026: close 18.42, indexed 129.610 Apr 2026: close 17.53, indexed 123.417 Apr 2026: close 18.6, indexed 130.924 Apr 2026: close 18.83, indexed 132.501 May 2026: close 18.75, indexed 131.908 May 2026: close 21.76, indexed 153.115 May 2026: close 22.92, indexed 161.322 May 2026: close 23.52, indexed 165.529 May 2026: close 22.67, indexed 159.505 Jun 2026: close 25.31, indexed 178.112 Jun 2026: close 28.44, indexed 200.119 Jun 2026: close 29.28, indexed 206.126 Jun 2026: close 30.36, indexed 213.703 Jul 2026: close 30.25, indexed 212.910 Jul 2026: close 30.47, indexed 214.417 Jul 2026: close 29.46, indexed 207.324 Jul 2026: close 30.92, indexed 217.631 Jul 2026: close 30.89, indexed 217.407 Aug 2026: close 30.69, indexed 216.0 20 Jun 2026: sentiment 5520 Jun 2026: sentiment 5421 Jun 2026: sentiment 5422 Jun 2026: sentiment 5422 Jun 2026: sentiment 5425 Jun 2026: sentiment 5426 Jun 2026: sentiment 5427 Jun 2026: sentiment 5328 Jun 2026: sentiment 5129 Jun 2026: sentiment 5201 Jul 2026: sentiment 5102 Jul 2026: sentiment 5303 Jul 2026: sentiment 5306 Jul 2026: sentiment 5306 Jul 2026: sentiment 5407 Jul 2026: sentiment 5112 Jul 2026: sentiment 5513 Jul 2026: sentiment 5514 Jul 2026: sentiment 5715 Jul 2026: sentiment 5719 Jul 2026: sentiment 5819 Jul 2026: sentiment 5719 Jul 2026: sentiment 5720 Jul 2026: sentiment 5521 Jul 2026: sentiment 5523 Jul 2026: sentiment 5523 Jul 2026: sentiment 5523 Jul 2026: sentiment 5523 Jul 2026: sentiment 5624 Jul 2026: sentiment 5728 Jul 2026: sentiment 5631 Jul 2026: sentiment 6007 Aug 2026: sentiment 6108 Aug 2026: sentiment 5412 Aug 2026: sentiment 68
13 Feb15 May07 Aug
Weekly close, indexedSentiment score
26-week price+116.0%latest close 30.69
Sentiment change+13available snapshot window
One-week response-0.6%Price digesting
Fair-value position+64.2%Materially above fair value
Sentiment confirms active trendPositive but stretched

News subjects

What is shaping the score

Earnings
Earnings837 stories · 78%
Capital return841 stories · 11%
Guidance831 stories · 11%

Source mix

Where the evidence comes from

0/100 independence
finance.yahoo.com839 stories · 100%

Recurring subjects

Subjects appearing most often

Current evidence
Earnings9Guidance4Net Income3Revenue Growth2Real Estate2Price Strength2Financials2Earnings Growth2Balance Sheet2Transportation1

Earlier readings

How the score has changed

50 is the neutral baseline
ConstructiveBalanced or withheldCautious

Source headlines

The news behind the score

Showing 1-9 of 9

Every row shows the public evidence used to understand the read. Direct company stories carry more weight than industry or sector context; duplicate coverage is consolidated before scoring.

#188Tone
finance.yahoo.comDirect company coverage

Earnings Estimates Rising for Geo Group (GEO): Will It Gain?

Geo Group (GEO) appears an attractive pick given a noticeable improvement in the company's earnings outlook. The stock has been a strong performer lately, and the momentum might continue with analysts still raising their earnings estimates for the company. The upward trend in estimate revisions for this private prison operator reflects growing optimism of analysts on its earnings prospects, which should get reflected in its stock price. After all, empirical research shows a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and near-term stock price movements. This insight is at

Consensus EstimateEarningsEarnings EstimateEstimate RevisionsPrice Target
Published
12 Aug 2026 16:20
Catalyst
Earnings
Evidence role
Direct company coverage
Duplicates
1 consolidated
#286Tone
finance.yahoo.comDirect company coverage

Should GEO Group’s Buyback and New ICE Contract Shift the Earnings Outlook for GEO (GEO) Investors?

The GEO Group recently completed a US$179.61 million share repurchase program that retired 10,097,801 shares, while reporting higher second-quarter 2026 revenue of US$732.07 million and net income of US$47.5 million, alongside increased full-year 2026 earnings guidance and new quarterly forecasts. Complementing these results, a new five-year U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement contract for the 1,320-bed Rivers Facility in North Carolina is expected to add about US$80 million in annual revenues in its first full year of operations, underscoring the company's continued reliance on large fed

DetentionEarningsGuidanceImmigrationNet IncomeRevenue Growth
Published
12 Aug 2026 00:17
Catalyst
Earnings
Evidence role
Direct company coverage
Duplicates
1 consolidated
#384Tone
finance.yahoo.comDirect company coverage

Why GEO Group (GEO) Is Back In The Spotlight

Never miss an important update on your stock portfolio and cut through the noise. Over 7 million investors trust Simply Wall St to stay informed where it matters for FREE. Why GEO Group's latest update matters for investors GEO Group (GEO) has just combined a completed share buyback program with raised 2026 earnings guidance, giving investors fresh information on capital allocation and expected profitability for the rest of the year. See our latest analysis for GEO Group. GEO Group's raised 2026 guidance and completed buyback come after a sharp recovery in the stock, with the 90 day share pric

Balance SheetDebt ReductionEarningsEarnings Per ShareGuidanceRevenue Growth
Published
11 Aug 2026 20:10
Catalyst
Capital return
Evidence role
Direct company coverage
Duplicates
1 consolidated
#484Tone
finance.yahoo.comDirect company coverage

Zacks.com featured highlights include OptimumBank, EuroDry, Enova International, Anika Therapeutics and The GEO

For Immediate Release Chicago, IL – August 11, 2026 – Stocks in this week's article are OptimumBank Holdings Inc. OPHC, EuroDry Ltd. EDRY, Enova International Inc. ENVA, Anika Therapeutics Inc. ANIK and The GEO Group Inc. GEO. 5 Stocks with Recent Price Strength to Tap August Rally U.S. stock markets returned to a northward journey after a mixed June and July. In the first week of August, the Dow, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite rallied 3%, 3.6% and 5.2%, respectively. All three major stock indexes posted their best weekly performances since April. The Dow and the S&P 500 are currently ho

EarningsEarnings GrowthPrice Strength
Published
11 Aug 2026 15:20
Catalyst
Earnings
Evidence role
Direct company coverage
Duplicates
1 consolidated
#580Tone
finance.yahoo.comDirect company coverage

Geodrill Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

Key Points Interested in Geodrill Limited? Here are five stocks we like better. Record revenue masked a sharp profitability decline: Q2 revenue rose 10% year over year to $55.1 million, but gross margin fell to 16% from 24%, EBITDA margin dropped to 14% from 28%, and Geodrill reported a roughly $200,000 net loss. Chile remains a major operational drag: The company is reviewing contracts individually because lower drilling productivity has hurt returns, with potentially unprofitable contracts being wound down over the next several quarters. Demand remains strong, but execution is the priority:

Dividend PaymentsDrilling ServicesEarningsInflationMarginsNet Income
Published
10 Aug 2026 17:04
Catalyst
Earnings
Evidence role
Direct company coverage
Duplicates
1 consolidated
#646Tone
finance.yahoo.comDirect company coverage

Best Momentum Stocks to Buy for August 10th

Here are three stocks with buy rank and strong momentum characteristics for investors to consider today, August 10: Avnet, Inc. AVT: This electronics distribution company has a Zacks Rank #1 and witnessed the Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings increasing 16.4% over the last 60 days. Avnet, Inc. Price and ConsensusAvnet, Inc. Price and Consensus Avnet, Inc. price-consensus-chart | Avnet, Inc. Quote Avnet's shares gained 17.0% over the last three months compared with the S&P 500's decline of 5.1%. The company possesses a Momentum Score of A. Avnet, Inc. PriceAvnet, Inc. Price

EarningsMomentum
Published
10 Aug 2026 14:15
Catalyst
Earnings
Evidence role
Direct company coverage
Duplicates
1 consolidated
#786Tone
finance.yahoo.comDirect company coverage

5 Stocks With Recent Price Strength to Tap August Rally

U.S. stock markets returned to a northward journey after a mixed June and July. In the first week of August, the Dow, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite rallied 3%, 3.6% and 5.2%, respectively. All three major stock indexes posted their best weekly performances since April. The Dow and the S&P 500 are currently hovering around their all-time highs. As a result, several stocks have shown price strength. We have primarily targeted stocks that have recently been on a bull run. These stocks have a high chance of carrying the momentum forward. Five such stocks are — OptimumBank Holdings Inc. OPHC

EarningsEarnings GrowthFinancialsPrice StrengthReal EstateTransportation
Published
10 Aug 2026 13:22
Catalyst
Earnings
Evidence role
Direct company coverage
Duplicates
1 consolidated
#886Tone
finance.yahoo.comDirect company coverage

GEO Q2 2026 Deep Dive: Contract Expansions, ICE Policy, and Asset Sale Developments

GEO Q2 2026 Deep Dive: Contract Expansions, ICE Policy, and Asset Sale Developments Private corrections company GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) reported revenue ahead of Wall Street's expectations in Q2 CY2026, with sales up 15.1% year on year to $732.1 million. Guidance for next quarter's revenue was better than expected at $780 million at the midpoint, 1.9% above analysts' estimates. Its GAAP profit of $0.36 per share was 26.2% above analysts' consensus estimates. Is now the time to buy GEO? Find out in our full research report (it's free). GEO Group (GEO) Q2 CY2026 Highlights: Revenue: $732.1 million

Asset SalesBalance SheetContract ExpansionEarningsFree Cash FlowGuidance
Published
09 Aug 2026 23:17
Catalyst
Earnings
Evidence role
Direct company coverage
Duplicates
1 consolidated
#983Tone
finance.yahoo.comDirect company coverage

Geo Group Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

Key Points Interested in Geo Group Inc (The)? Here are five stocks we like better. Strong second-quarter performance: Revenue rose 15% to $732.1 million, net income increased 63% to $47.5 million, and adjusted EBITDA grew 20% to $142 million, driven by contracts awarded in 2025. ICE expansion supports future growth: GEO added contracts covering roughly 6,000 beds and expects to activate the 1,188-bed Big Horn and 1,320-bed Rivers facilities by the end of 2026. The company's contracted ICE capacity is projected to reach about 29,500 beds, excluding additional idle capacity. 2026 outlook raised

EarningsFinancialsGuidanceNet IncomeReal Estate
Published
08 Aug 2026 09:03
Catalyst
Guidance
Evidence role
Direct company coverage
Duplicates
1 consolidated

How the page works

How to read the score

Tone is directional

It describes the weighted balance of qualifying headlines. A score of 50 can mean a balanced tape or that direction has been withheld for insufficient evidence; the status label distinguishes them.

Confidence is separate

Confidence measures depth, source breadth, direct relevance, freshness and agreement. It does not rise merely because the tone is extreme.

Price is confirmation

Weekly price response, trend and fair-value position test whether the market is accepting or rejecting the news. They never rewrite the news score.

Classification, not prediction

The page describes completed evidence available at the stated time. It is research context, not a forecast, recommendation, target or execution instruction.

Evidence context