ARLO NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Arlo Technologies · Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

Latest close 12.87 USD
-3.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 20.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.3%, after a 2.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 42/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 58/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 6d.

Setup score 26 out of 100
Latest Close 12.87 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -3.3% latest completed week
4W Return 2.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return -11.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 30.8% 16 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 20.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.3%, after a 2.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0612-week average 0.10

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.06Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 2.7% over four weeks, -11.9% over 12 weeks, and -20.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-3.3%
4W2.7%
12W-11.9%
26W-0.9%
52W-20.7%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year16
Trend breadth30.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.51Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change12.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-19.00Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change15.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 90%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength11/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
Value6/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 95; rank 1 is best.
Quality86/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 15; rank 1 is best.
Momentum16/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
Growth71/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 30; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
45.6x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.5x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
34.7x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
7.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
45.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
5.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
15.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
235.7%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
10.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
28.9%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
2.5%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.5%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-4.1x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

ARLO shows bullish options pressure with a 42/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.47, expected move of 21.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction42/100
Expected move21.4%
Put/call volume0.47
Pressure47
Speculation43
Volatility96
Trend agreement13
Open options detail
Insider activity6 / 4

6 acquisitions and 4 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 40 relevant articles.

17 positive · 21 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings6dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move21.4%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-35.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+35.1%Week of 27 Feb.
Worst week-19.2%Week of 15 May.
Latest week-3.3%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses7
Recent vol6.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.3% / -5.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202612.87 USD-3.3%13.40 USD12.62 USD-0.51-19.004.6MOff
17 Jul 202613.31 USD2.4%13.45 USD12.61 USD-0.42-17.334.6MOff
10 Jul 202613.00 USD0.2%13.47 USD12.59 USD-0.43-21.106.9MOff
3 Jul 202612.98 USD3.6%13.51 USD12.58 USD-0.52-20.725.3MOff
26 Jun 202612.53 USD-4.1%13.56 USD12.56 USD-0.59-22.567.3MOff
19 Jun 202613.06 USD1.1%13.62 USD12.55 USD-0.51-21.955.8MOff
12 Jun 202612.92 USD0.9%13.63 USD12.53 USD-0.35-22.844.6MOff
5 Jun 202612.80 USD-4.0%13.67 USD12.51 USD-0.13-23.866.1MOff
29 May 202613.34 USD1.4%13.74 USD12.48 USD0.32-23.354.4MOff
22 May 202613.16 USD6.8%13.94 USD12.46 USD0.53-23.738.1MOff
15 May 202612.32 USD-19.2%14.15 USD12.44 USD0.58-28.309.5MOff
8 May 202615.25 USD4.4%14.32 USD12.42 USD0.70-11.558.9MOff
1 May 202614.61 USD0.1%14.37 USD12.38 USD0.47-13.386.4MOff
24 Apr 202614.60 USD-3.9%14.46 USD12.33 USD0.36-12.504.5MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.