AER NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

AerCap Holdings NV · Industrials · Rental & Leasing Services

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Latest close 150.9 USD
-0.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 5.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 89.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.3%, after a 2.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bearish with 48/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 60/100.

Setup score 62 out of 100
Latest Close 150.9 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -0.3% latest completed week
4W Return 2.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 0.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 86.5% 45 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 4-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -0.3% Latest completed week; four-week move 2.1%. Indicator stack 61/70 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 59.13% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bearish 48/100 conviction; expected move 5.7%. News sentiment 60/100 44 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 29 Jul Latest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 5.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 89.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.3%, after a 2.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6412-week average 0.46

12-week confirmation

Trend active7/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership6/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.64Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 2.1% over four weeks, 0.9% over 12 weeks, and 40.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 4 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.3%
4W2.1%
12W0.9%
26W5.6%
52W40.6%
Active trend streak4 weeks
Active weeks in one year45
Trend breadth86.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.48Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change136.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership1.83Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change94.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength98/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
Value93/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Quality92/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
Momentum80/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 21; rank 1 is best.
Growth71/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 30; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework70/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
6.1x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.9x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
7.8x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
16.4%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
52.9%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
78.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
132.0%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
9.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
0.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
83.7%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-16.9%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
8/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.7%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
11.4%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
12.1%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
5.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBearish

AER shows bearish options pressure with a 48/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 9.08, expected move of 5.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction48/100
Expected move5.7%
Put/call volume9.08
Pressure-73
Speculation19
Volatility43
Trend agreement35
Open options detail
Insider activity1 / 19

1 acquisitions and 19 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment60/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 44 relevant articles.

24 positive · 19 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings29 JulLatest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
Options expected move5.7%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-3.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.4%Week of 13 Feb.
Worst week-8.9%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week-0.3%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses3
Recent vol3.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.9% / -2.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape63/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 63/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis49/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 7/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 6/12.

Activity pressure 0.64; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 59.13%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 59.13% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors90/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 5 SVQF70/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 305.0 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options36/100

AER shows bearish options pressure with a 48/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 9.08, expected move of 5.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bearish · Put-side pressure · Expected move 5.7% Sentiment60/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 44 relevant articles.

AerCap Holdings N.V. Just Recorded A 22% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next Insiders1 / 19

1 acquisitions and 19 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings29 Jul

Latest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026150.9 USD-0.3%142.9 USD103.9 USD0.481.836.8MOn
24 Jul 2026151.3 USD2.9%142.7 USD103.3 USD0.313.494.7MOn
17 Jul 2026147.0 USD-1.9%142.5 USD102.8 USD0.370.223.6MOn
10 Jul 2026149.9 USD1.4%142.4 USD102.2 USD0.390.815.2MOn
3 Jul 2026147.8 USD-0.7%142.0 USD101.7 USD0.200.945.6MOff
26 Jun 2026148.8 USD2.6%141.7 USD101.1 USD-0.133.946.1MOff
19 Jun 2026145.1 USD3.6%141.2 USD100.6 USD-0.42-0.965.4MOff
12 Jun 2026140.0 USD2.2%140.7 USD100.0 USD-0.60-3.536.0MOff
5 Jun 2026136.9 USD-1.8%140.6 USD99.49 USD-0.65-5.155.8MOff
29 May 2026139.4 USD0.6%140.4 USD98.99 USD-0.36-5.967.0MOn
22 May 2026138.6 USD-0.8%140.1 USD98.46 USD-0.35-5.246.5MOn
15 May 2026139.8 USD-6.6%139.5 USD97.94 USD-0.38-3.705.7MOn
8 May 2026149.6 USD6.4%138.8 USD97.41 USD-0.293.268.9MOn
1 May 2026140.5 USD2.1%137.8 USD96.80 USD-0.52-0.617.2MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.