HRI NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Herc Holdings Inc · Industrials · Rental & Leasing Services

Open interactive chart View report data Download investor PDF
Latest close 162.6 USD
8.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 18.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 75.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 8.8%, after a 7.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 55/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 57/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 5d.

Setup score 55 out of 100
Latest Close 162.6 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 8.8% latest completed week
4W Return 7.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return 22.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 40.4% 21 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 8.8% Latest completed week; four-week move 7.5%. Indicator stack 22/61 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Recent Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 55/100 conviction; expected move 13.9%. News sentiment 57/100 23 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 5d Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 18.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 75.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 8.8%, after a 7.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5712-week average 0.25

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership5/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.57Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 7.5% over four weeks, 22.8% over 12 weeks, and 11.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W8.8%
4W7.5%
12W22.8%
26W2.8%
52W11.3%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year21
Trend breadth40.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.70Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-22.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership12.44Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change151.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 90%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength51/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 50; rank 1 is best.
Value70/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 31; rank 1 is best.
Quality25/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
Momentum33/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 68; rank 1 is best.
Growth29/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 72; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework17/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
13.7x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
15.3%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
29.2%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
12.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
49.4%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
3.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
28.4%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-3.1%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
3/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.7%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.6%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
8.8x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

HRI shows volatility options pressure with a 55/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.05, expected move of 13.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction55/100
Expected move13.9%
Put/call volume0.05
Pressure100
Speculation21
Volatility79
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity8 / 0

8 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 23 relevant articles.

10 positive · 13 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings5dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move13.9%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-12.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+25.8%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-14.1%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+8.8%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses9
Recent vol6.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.5% / -6.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape49/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 49/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis39/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 5/12.

Activity pressure 0.57; No reversal markers Factors44/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 72; Small Cap Core rank 34 SVQF17/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 836.0 of 1013 Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Options36/100

HRI shows volatility options pressure with a 55/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.05, expected move of 13.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 13.9% Sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 23 relevant articles.

Herc Holdings Inc (HRI) Cash Flow Insiders8 / 0

8 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings5d

Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow1 items

0 recent research articles and 1 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026162.6 USD8.8%137.2 USD140.6 USD0.7012.442.6MOff
17 Jul 2026149.5 USD0.4%136.9 USD140.4 USD0.752.642.5MOff
10 Jul 2026148.9 USD10.4%137.0 USD140.2 USD0.800.532.7MOff
3 Jul 2026134.9 USD-10.8%137.1 USD140.1 USD0.84-7.951.7MOff
26 Jun 2026151.3 USD-2.5%137.3 USD140.1 USD0.904.954.2MOff
19 Jun 2026155.1 USD7.3%136.6 USD140.0 USD0.585.022.6MOff
12 Jun 2026144.6 USD5.8%135.8 USD139.7 USD0.29-1.023.3MOff
5 Jun 2026136.7 USD2.8%135.4 USD139.6 USD-0.03-5.872.6MOff
29 May 2026133.0 USD3.6%135.3 USD139.4 USD-0.21-10.831.5MOff
22 May 2026128.3 USD-6.7%135.5 USD139.3 USD-0.16-12.992.5MOff
15 May 2026137.5 USD3.4%135.6 USD139.1 USD-0.22-6.362.4MOff
8 May 2026132.9 USD0.4%135.1 USD138.8 USD-0.43-9.652.5MOff
1 May 2026132.4 USD8.7%134.6 USD138.6 USD-0.64-8.135.1MOff
24 Apr 2026121.8 USD11.1%134.4 USD138.3 USD-0.94-14.863.1MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.